The Colony, Texas Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 75°
  • Clear
  • Wind: South 8 mph
  • Humidity: 92%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 73°
  • Pressure: 30.06 in. -

Nowcast

  • Now as of 4:33 am CDT on May 28, 2015

    A line of thunderstorms is moving southeast into North Texas. The activity will reach Graham and Bowie around 6 am. This activity is not expected to be severe...but the storms will contain frequent lightning and heavy rain. Under the heavier downpours...rainfall amounts may exceed 1/2 inch. A few showers will occur in advance of the line...with rainfall amounts generally under 1/4 inch. Otherwise...mild but humid conditions will prevail through sunrise.

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Next 12 Hours

5  am
8  am
11  am
2  pm
5  pm
Overcast
Overcast
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
72°
71°
79°
83°
85°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Thursday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 87 °
  • Low: 70 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Friday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 86 °
  • Low: 70 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Saturday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 80 °
  • Low: 65 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 81 °
  • Low: 64 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Clear
  • High: 84 °
  • Low: 66 °
  • Clear

Forecast for The Colony, Texas

Updated: 1:02 AM CDT on January 28, 2015

Flash Flood Watch in effect from this evening through Saturday morning...
  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy skies. A stray thunderstorm is possible. High 87F. Winds S at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Variable clouds with scattered thunderstorms. A few storms may be severe. Low around 70F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Friday

    Cloudy early. Scattered thunderstorms developing later in the day. A few storms may be severe. High 86F. Winds S at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Friday Night

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms. A few storms may be severe. Low around 70F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Saturday

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms. High near 80F. Winds WNW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Saturday Night

    Scattered thunderstorms during the evening, then partly cloudy overnight. Low near 65F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Sunday

    Partly to mostly cloudy. High 81F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy skies. Low 64F. Winds NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Sunny, along with a few afternoon clouds. High 84F. Winds light and variable.

  • Monday Night

    Clear skies. Low 66F. Winds light and variable.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy skies. High 87F. Winds SE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Mostly clear skies. Low around 70F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Considerable clouds early. Some decrease in clouds later in the day. High 87F. Winds SSE at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low 71F. Winds SSE at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Thursday

    Considerable clouds early. Some decrease in clouds later in the day. High 88F. Winds SSE at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Mainly clear early, then a few clouds later on. Low 72F. Winds S at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Friday

    Scattered thunderstorms in the morning, then partly cloudy late. High 89F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday Night

    Some clouds early will give way to generally clear conditions overnight. Low 72F. Winds SE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Scattered thunderstorms early. Skies will become mostly sunny later in the day. High 89F. Winds ENE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low 71F. Winds ENE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Mostly sunny skies. High 89F. Winds NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Low 71F. Winds NE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Flash Flood Watch  Statement as of 3:32 am CDT on May 28, 2015


... Flash Flood Watch in effect from this evening through Saturday
morning...

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of north central Texas and
northeast Texas... including the following areas... in north
central Texas... Bosque... Collin... Comanche... Cooke... Dallas...
Denton... Eastland... Ellis... Erath... Fannin... Grayson...
Hamilton... Hill... Hood... Hunt... Jack... Johnson... Kaufman...
Mills... Montague... Navarro... Palo Pinto... Parker... Rockwall...
Somervell... Stephens... Tarrant... wise and Young. In northeast
Texas... Delta... Henderson... Hopkins... Lamar... rains and Van
Zandt.

* From this evening through Saturday morning

* widespread 1 to 3 inches with isolated higher amounts possible.

* Soils are saturated across the watch area. Any additional heavy
rain will runoff quickly and result in flash flooding. In
addition... heavy rains will only aggravate ongoing river and
lake flooding across the area.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions are favorable for heavy
rain which may lead to flash flooding. You should monitor the
latest forecasts from the National Weather Service and be
prepared to take action should flash flood warnings be issued for
your area.





 Local Storm Report 



05/27/2015 0841 PM

Krum, Denton County.

Hail e1.00 inch, reported by broadcast media.


            Quarter size hail east of Krum on I-35




05/27/2015 0841 PM

2 miles E of Krum, Denton County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by broadcast media.


            Estimated winds 60-70 mph on I-35 east of Krum. Some
            small signs down.




05/27/2015 0841 PM

Krum, Denton County.

Hail e1.00 inch, reported by broadcast media.


            Quarter size hail east of Krum on I-35




05/27/2015 0841 PM

Krum, Denton County.

Hail e1.00 inch, reported by broadcast media.


            Quarter size hail east of Krum on I-35




05/27/2015 0841 PM

2 miles E of Krum, Denton County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by broadcast media.


            Estimated winds 60-70 mph on I-35 east of Krum. Some
            small signs down.




05/27/2015 0841 PM

2 miles E of Krum, Denton County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by broadcast media.


            Estimated winds 60-70 mph on I-35 east of Krum. Some
            small signs down.




05/27/2015 0822 PM

4 miles SSW of Ponder, Denton County.

Hail m1.00 inch, reported by amateur radio.


            Quarter size hail southwest of Ponder




05/27/2015 0822 PM

4 miles SSW of Ponder, Denton County.

Hail m1.00 inch, reported by amateur radio.


            Quarter size hail southwest of Ponder



 Public Information Statement  Statement as of 9:51 PM CDT on May 27, 2015



... Rainfall reports past 12 hours ...

Location amount time/date lat/Lon

... Dallas County...
Bonnie View @ telephone 0.52 in 0644 PM 05/27 32.64n/96.75w
1 NE Garland 0.29 in 0721 PM 05/27 32.93n/96.61w

... Denton County...
2 SW Krum 1.30 in 0925 PM 05/27 33.24n/97.26w
Krum 0.98 in 0941 PM 05/27 33.26n/97.22w
Ponder 0.82 in 0918 PM 05/27 33.18n/97.29w
Denton creek 0.49 in 0900 PM 05/27 33.12n/97.29w
Denton 0.26 in 0918 PM 05/27 33.26n/97.17w

... Ellis County...
Lake Waxahachie 0.57 in 0930 PM 05/27 32.34n/96.81w
3 ESE Bardwell 0.42 in 0900 PM 05/27 32.25n/96.65w

... Hood County...
2 WNW Granbury 0.55 in 0903 PM 05/27 32.45n/97.82w
Granbury 0.31 in 0900 PM 05/27 32.44n/97.78w

... McLennan County...
5 SSW McGregor 0.39 in 0401 PM 05/27 31.38n/97.41w

... Milam County...
3 SSE Thorndale 0.34 in 0400 PM 05/27 30.58n/97.19w

... Parker County...
4 S Springtown 0.94 in 0800 PM 05/27 32.91n/97.68w
3 SW Azle 0.57 in 0945 PM 05/27 32.85n/97.57w
1 se Willow Park 0.57 in 0943 PM 05/27 32.74n/97.64w
Sanctuary 0.33 in 0940 PM 05/27 32.91n/97.59w
clear fk Trinity River near 0.29 in 0915 PM 05/27 32.74n/97.65w

... Tarrant County...
1 SSE Eagle Mountain 2.70 in 0935 PM 05/27 32.88n/97.44w
Eagle Mountain Reservoir Abo 2.01 in 0815 PM 05/27 32.88n/97.47w
Cement Lake 1.08 in 0815 PM 05/27 32.83n/97.37w
2 NNE Benbrook 1.02 in 0930 PM 05/27 32.71n/97.44w
1 SW Fort Worth 0.67 in 0930 PM 05/27 32.73n/97.36w
west fk Trinity @ beach stre 0.60 in 0915 PM 05/27 32.75n/97.29w
Lakeside 0.59 in 0820 PM 05/27 32.83n/97.50w
fire station 31 0.59 in 0818 PM 05/27 32.87n/97.29w
Tarrant regional water distr 0.55 in 0815 PM 05/27 32.78n/97.34w
1 NNW Eagle Mountain 0.47 in 0859 PM 05/27 32.92n/97.45w
Fort Worth 0.41 in 0915 PM 05/27 32.76n/97.33w
1 NE Watauga 0.40 in 0928 PM 05/27 32.89n/97.24w
Lake Arlington 0.34 in 0915 PM 05/27 32.72n/97.19w
2 SSW dalworthington gar 0.31 in 0940 PM 05/27 32.65n/97.17w
2 E Newark 0.30 in 0943 PM 05/27 32.99n/97.42w
1 ESE Benbrook 0.28 in 0939 PM 05/27 32.67n/97.44w
1 WSW Rendon 0.27 in 0938 PM 05/27 32.57n/97.27w
1 N north Richland hil 0.26 in 0935 PM 05/27 32.89n/97.22w
Lake Worth rsvr 0.24 in 0900 PM 05/27 32.79n/97.42w

... Wise County...
Newark 0.36 in 0800 PM 05/27 33.03n/97.52w

... Young County...
Lake Graham nr Graham 0.98 in 0915 PM 05/27 33.13n/98.61w
6 SW Graham 0.33 in 0930 PM 05/27 33.02n/98.64w

Observations are collected from a variety of sources with varying
equipment and exposure. Not all data listed are considered official.



Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Roberts Drive, The Colony, TX

Updated: 4:36 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.1 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: North Colony/Morning Star, The Colony, TX

Updated: 4:32 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.7 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: South at 1.1 mph Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Waterstone, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:38 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.6 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: SSW at 6.8 mph Pressure: 29.73 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Quail Meadow Village, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:41 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.5 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Ridgepointe, The Colony, TX

Updated: 4:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 74.8 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: SSW at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.72 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: The Tribute / The Glen, The Colony, TX

Updated: 4:41 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.7 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Creekside at Country Club Dr, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:41 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.3 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: South at 1.1 mph Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Kings Ridge, Plano, TX

Updated: 4:41 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.5 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: SE at 2.9 mph Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Shoal Creek, Plano, TX

Updated: 4:40 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.4 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 85% Wind: NW at 1.6 mph Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Heritage Village-Phase II, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:41 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.4 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: South at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Westfalls Village, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:41 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.0 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: SSW at 1.6 mph Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Village Lakes, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:40 AM CDT

Temperature: 77.0 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: Castle Hills North, Lewisville, TX

Updated: 4:41 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.4 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: SW at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Legacy Drive, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:40 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.6 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Northeast Carrollton, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 4:40 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.7 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Castle Hills, Lewisville, TX

Updated: 4:40 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.6 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Arbor Vista, Plano, TX

Updated: 4:40 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.8 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.13 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: The Trails, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:41 AM CDT

Temperature: 73.0 °F Dew Point: 55 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Frisco Eubanks C1010, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:40 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.6 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Near Brinker Elementary, Plano, TX

Updated: 4:40 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.0 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.18 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Heather Ridge Estates, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:27 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.4 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: NE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Toyota Stadium, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:28 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.5 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: SSE at 8.0 mph Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Meadow Ridge, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 4:40 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.9 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: SE at 3.8 mph Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: WB8GRS - Little Elm, TX, WB8GRS, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 4:41 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.0 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: SSE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Eldorado Estates III, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 4:41 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.3 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: South at 6.7 mph Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Cottonwood, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 4:41 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.7 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: SE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Frisco Original Donation, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:41 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.8 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Oak Hills, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 4:41 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.2 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: SSE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: North Central Carrollton, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 4:40 AM CDT

Temperature: 77.5 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: Woodrow Circle, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 4:40 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.4 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Stonebrook, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:40 AM CDT

Temperature: 73.2 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.60 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Villages of Woodlake, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 4:32 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.4 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: SSW at 3.2 mph Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Northwest Carrollton, Lewisville, TX

Updated: 4:35 AM CDT

Temperature: 77.5 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: W. Park St., Little Elm, TX

Updated: 4:40 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.3 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: SW at 3.8 mph Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Willow Bend, Plano, TX

Updated: 4:40 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.1 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.13 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Deerfield, Plano, TX

Updated: 4:37 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.0 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.20 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Hillcrest Estates, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:33 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.1 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: South at 5.0 mph Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas 
417 am CDT Thursday may 28 2015 




..more rounds of thunderstorms with heavy rainfall expected by 
tonight and continuing into Saturday... 


..Flash Flood Watch in effect from this evening through Saturday 
morning generally north of a Goldthwaite...to Hillsboro...to 
Athens line... 


Discussion... 
we continue to watch yet another mesoscale convective system moving across northwest Texas/SW OK 
this morning...though there are signs via regional radar that it 
is becoming outflow driven. This system will likely arrive into 
our northwest counties just before or by sunrise but weaken as 
outflow outruns it and the low level jet veers and weakens around sunrise. 
Will carry likely chances across the far northwest counties this morning 
and expect a residual outflow boundary to set up somewhere north 
of I-20 and either side of I-35 depending on strength of the 
outflow moving out ahead of this system. During the morning 
hours...we expect the atmosphere to recharge with plenty of column 
moisture available per precipitable water values at or above 1.5 inches. Another 
shortwave disturbance within the progressive west-northwest flow aloft will 
trigger more storms across the High Plains by midday and this 
afternoon and move with the mean steering current aloft toward 
western North Texas later this afternoon into tonight. Though 
discrete storms are possible early in storm evolution...a 
nocturnal low level jet will likely result in yet another linear mesoscale convective system moving 
across overnight and into Friday. Cape values between 2500-3500 
j/kg... middle level lapse rates hovering between 7-8 degree/c and deep 
layer shear increasing to between 30-35 kts all point to more 
severe weather for at least the northwest half of the County Warning Area by this 
evening...before localized heavy rain and more flooding become a 
concern at night and into Friday morning. Soils are saturated and 
run off is likely to occur quickly for flash flooding and for 
aggravating the ongoing flooding already occurring with swollen 
rivers...lakes and creeks across the area. 


A brief reprieve may occur late Friday into Friday evening...before 
more storms with heavy rain form off a cold front moving through 
the Texas Panhandle and OK during the afternoon and evening. This 
activity is being advertised to form into yet another mesoscale convective system and 
likely cross the Red River after midnight Friday night and track 
into at least the northwest half of County Warning Area through Saturday morning. 
A Flash Flood Watch has been posted starting this evening and 
lasting through midday Saturday for areas generally north of a 
Goldthwaite-Hillsboro-Athens line per projections of widespread 
1-3 inches of rain with localized higher amounts. We decided to 
leave out central Texas areas further to the south due to lower 
total rainfall projections during this time period. However...if 
storms systems track further south than expected...then it/S 
highly probable the Flash Flood Watch would need to be extended 
south and include our entire County Warning Area. As for the threat for severe 
weather beyond tonight...confidence is low on pinpointing the 
higher risk areas. That said...localized severe storms are 
possible just about anywhere across the area with instability 
during the daytime hours remaining impressive despite the relative 
weak bulk shear below 30 kts. 


The main shortwave trough and associated cold front are expected 
to track across the Southern Plains late Saturday into Saturday 
night pushing the higher risk for severe storms and any flooding 
to areas south of the I-20 corridor. Weak north-northwest flow aloft will 
prevail overhead Sunday into early next week...as medium range 
models stall an upper trough /or low/ to our east...with the 
European and Canadian models more open...weaker and further east 
than the GFS. An upper ridge will build into West Texas. This 
should finally bring an end to The Rounds of severe weather and 
widespread rains...though certainly isolated diurnal convection 
could occur east of I-35 where the richest column moisture will 
reside. Temperatures through Saturday will likely be 5-10 degrees 
below climatological normals...returning to near normal values 
early next week in the middle 80s. 


05/ 


&& 


Aviation... 
/issued 1155 PM CDT Wednesday may 27 2015/ 
/6z tafs/ 


In the wake of earlier thunderstorms...most of North Texas is 
under VFR conditions with some thick high cloudiness still 
lingering. All of the thunderstorms have ended across our area and 
our main concern will be whether or not some thunderstorms well 
to the west makes it into the area during the early morning hours. 
At this time...it appears that most of the activity will diminish 
significantly before making it into North Texas. MVFR ceilings should 
spread north overnight into the area early Thursday morning. 
Thursday should be rather quiet...although we will still have to 
watch for isolated thunderstorm development during the late 
afternoon hours. Right now it looks like the best chance for 
thunderstorms will be late tomorrow night as thunderstorms move in 
from the west. Will have a thunderstorms in the vicinity in at all of the metroplex taf 
sites from 05z. Modifications to this timing may be needed through 
the day tomorrow. 


Dunn 




&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 85 70 83 68 81 / 40 70 60 60 60 
Waco, Texas 86 71 84 67 83 / 20 50 60 30 50 
Paris, Texas 82 70 81 67 79 / 30 50 60 60 60 
Denton, Texas 84 70 81 67 81 / 40 70 60 60 60 
McKinney, Texas 84 69 82 67 80 / 40 60 60 60 60 
Dallas, Texas 85 71 83 69 82 / 30 60 60 60 60 
Terrell, Texas 84 71 84 68 81 / 20 50 60 50 60 
Corsicana, Texas 84 71 84 68 82 / 20 40 60 30 50 
Temple, Texas 87 71 85 67 83 / 30 40 50 30 40 
Mineral Wells, Texas 83 68 82 66 80 / 50 70 40 60 60 


&& 


Forward watches/warnings/advisories... 
Flash Flood Watch from this evening through Saturday morning for 
txz091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>146. 




&& 


$$ 


/05 






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