The Colony, Texas Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 60°
  • Overcast
  • Wind: SE 9 mph
  • Humidity: 100%
  • Visibility: 5.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 60°
  • Pressure: 30.08 in. 0

Nowcast

  • Now as of 3:35 am CST on November 22, 2014

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to affect the northwest half of North Texas through sunrise. Locations near the Red River will see the strongest storms which will be capable of locally heavy rainfall...gusty winds and even some small hail. One hour rainfall amounts will average between one tenth and one quarter inch with isolated half inch amounts possible. All storms will move northeast around 30 mph. After sunrise...thunderstorms will increase in coverage from west to east through the day.

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Next 12 Hours

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T-storms
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Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 66 °
  • Low: 55 °
  • T-Storms
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 66 °
  • Low: 45 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Clear
  • High: 63 °
  • Low: 39 °
  • Clear
  • Tuesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 57 °
  • Low: 41 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Clear
  • High: 57 °
  • Low: 41 °
  • Clear

Forecast for The Colony, Texas

Updated: 3:00 AM CST on November 22, 2014

  • Saturday

    Overcast with thunderstorms and rain showers. High of 66F. Winds from the SE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 100% with rainfall amounts near 1.0 in. possible.

  • Saturday Night

    Overcast with thunderstorms, then a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain after midnight. Low of 55F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 90% with rainfall amounts near 1.3 in. possible.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 66F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 45F. Breezy. Winds from the NW at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 63F. Winds from the NW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 39F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear in the morning, then overcast. High of 57F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 41F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the SSW after midnight.

  • Wednesday

    Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 57F. Winds from the SW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 41F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 54F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 37F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the NNE after midnight.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 54F. Winds from the NNE at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 43F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. High of 54F. Winds from the East at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Low of 45F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 61F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 48F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Monday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog early. High of 72F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 48F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 70F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 48F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: The Tribute / The Glen, The Colony, TX

Updated: 3:58 AM CST

Temperature: 60.1 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: NE at 5.0 mph Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.04 in Graphs

Location: Kings Ridge, Plano, TX

Updated: 4:01 AM CST

Temperature: 60.6 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: SSE at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Shoal Creek, Plano, TX

Updated: 4:01 AM CST

Temperature: 60.1 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: ENE at 2.8 mph Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Graphs

Location: Heritage Village-Phase II, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:01 AM CST

Temperature: 60.0 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: SSE at 5.0 mph Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.07 in Graphs

Location: Westfalls Village, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:01 AM CST

Temperature: 59.0 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: SE at 8.5 mph Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.10 in Graphs

Location: Legacy Drive, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:01 AM CST

Temperature: 61.0 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Frisco Eubanks C1010, Frisco, TX

Updated: 3:50 AM CST

Temperature: 60.4 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Heather Ridge Estates, Frisco, TX

Updated: 3:59 AM CST

Temperature: 59.9 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: East at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.13 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.13 in Graphs

Location: Meadow Ridge, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 4:00 AM CST

Temperature: 60.3 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: ESE at 5.5 mph Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: WB8GRS - Little Elm, TX, WB8GRS, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 4:01 AM CST

Temperature: 60.8 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: SE at 5.0 mph Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.08 in Graphs

Location: Cottonwood, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 4:01 AM CST

Temperature: 60.1 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: SSW at 5.0 mph Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Oak Hills, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 4:01 AM CST

Temperature: 60.1 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: SSE at 5.0 mph Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Eldorado Estates, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 3:50 AM CST

Temperature: 60.9 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: SE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.08 in Graphs

Location: North Central Carrollton, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 4:01 AM CST

Temperature: 61.9 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Stonebrook, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:00 AM CST

Temperature: 58.3 °F Dew Point: 56 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: North at 2.7 mph Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: W. Park St., Little Elm, TX

Updated: 4:01 AM CST

Temperature: 60.8 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: SW at 3.8 mph Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.08 in Graphs

Location: Willow Bend, Plano, TX

Updated: 4:00 AM CST

Temperature: 60.6 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.16 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Frisco, Frisco, TX

Updated: 3:54 AM CST

Temperature: 58.6 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: NNW at 2.7 mph Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Deerfield, Plano, TX

Updated: 4:00 AM CST

Temperature: 59.4 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: ESE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.25 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Hillcrest Meadows, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:01 AM CST

Temperature: 58.6 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: ESE at 7.0 mph Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Preston Hollow, Plano, TX

Updated: 3:53 AM CST

Temperature: 58.8 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: SW at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Quincy Place, Plano, TX

Updated: 4:01 AM CST

Temperature: 58.6 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: SE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Sedona, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:01 AM CST

Temperature: 61.3 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Queens Gate, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:01 AM CST

Temperature: 58.7 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: NW at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.64 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Plano, Plano, TX

Updated: 3:51 AM CST

Temperature: 59.9 °F Dew Point: 56 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.14 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Wellington Estates (Ohio & Tennyson), Plano, TX

Updated: 4:01 AM CST

Temperature: 59.4 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: SE at 9.2 mph Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: The Shores, Lakewood Village, TX

Updated: 4:01 AM CST

Temperature: 58.8 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: South at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.07 in Graphs

Location: Grayhawk, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:01 AM CST

Temperature: 60.6 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: NE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.13 in Graphs

Location: Frisco C31, Frisco, TX

Updated: 3:50 AM CST

Temperature: 58.8 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Plantation Springs, Frisco, TX

Updated: 4:01 AM CST

Temperature: 59.5 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.14 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Meadow Hill Estates, Frisco, TX

Updated: 3:47 AM CST

Temperature: 58.9 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Highland Ridge, Plano, TX

Updated: 4:00 AM CST

Temperature: 65.5 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Rosemeade II, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 3:55 AM CST

Temperature: 61.5 °F Dew Point: -40 °F Humidity: - Wind: SSE at 3.2 mph Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: NW Carrollton, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 4:01 AM CST

Temperature: 60.3 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: SSW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Timbercreek Estates, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 4:01 AM CST

Temperature: 61.0 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas 
312 am CST Sat Nov 22 2014 


Discussion... 
water vapor imagery shows the strong upper trough digging into 
northwest Mexico this morning with a plume of moisture spreading 
northeast across Texas. A little closer to home...area radars 
show a scattering of showers and thunderstorms across North 
Texas...primarily across the northwest counties where the leading 
edge of a 40kt low level jet is located along with a maximum of 850-700mb 
positive Theta-E advection. Model soundings across the western 
half of the County Warning Area show that lifting parcels from around 800mb yields 
about 700j/kg of cape which is supporting thunderstorms with some 
hail. The strongest storms will be capable of producing marginally 
severe hail through late this morning. Soundings also show a nearly 
moist adiabatic profile from the surface to about 800mb which 
suggests that while storms are slightly elevated...gusty winds 
will still be possible with the strongest storms. We have already 
seen several gusts to near 40mph. 


With the upper low still expected to track across south central 
Texas later today...our area will remain in a favorable position 
for widespread rainfall...particularly this afternoon when the 
strongest forcing arrives. The more southerly track of the upper 
low does also limit our severe weather potential this afternoon. 
Instability will be highest across central and southeast Texas 
tied closely with the colder temperatures of the core of the 
trough. This doesnt mean that we are completely off the hook 
however as deep layer shear remains strong. Pockets of higher 
instability where it is a little warmer could result in some 
severe storms primarily across the far southern part of the County Warning Area. 
This threat is highest south of a Killeen to Waco to Centerville 
line. 


With stronger forcing arriving later today...we should see a 
gradual increase in coverage of showers and thunderstorms. Initial 
activity will remain across the west and northwest counties where 
best moisture/warm advection is present. This will spread east 
across all of North Texas this afternoon and eventually move east 
of the area tonight. Deep layer moisture is present as indicated 
by nearly saturated soundings across the County Warning Area...with precipitable water values 
approaching 1.5 inches. This is quite high for this time of year 
and with a fairly deep warm cloud layer in place...showers/storms 
will be efficient rainfall producers. This is evidenced by rain 
gauge reports of 0.50 to 0.75 inches of rain in about 30 minutes 
time. The main limiting factors against more of a flash flood 
threat are the moderately strong deep layer wind fields. This 
should keep the showers and storms moving a relatively fast clip 
throughout the day. Ongoing drought conditions also suggest that 
precipitation will quickly soak into parched grounds. 


Precipitation will end from west to east this evening with most 
areas in North Texas picking up some rainfall. Widespread rainfall 
amounts of around 1 inch are expected with isolated heavier 
amounts in excess of 2 inches. 


As this system moves east of the area on Sunday...fairly strong 
westerly winds aloft will be in place across North Texas. Given 
the expected sunshine and warm temperatures...expect that stronger 
winds aloft will mix down to the surface resulting in a windy day. 
Current forecast speeds are just shy of Wind Advisory criteria but 
considerably stronger than the NAM guidance. Highs on Sunday are 
likely to be in the middle to upper 70s with slightly cooler temperatures 
near the Red River. Winds become more northerly Sunday night 
allowing colder air to spill into the area. Highs Monday will be 
in the lower 60s across the area with northwest winds. 


The extended forecast will remain dry although there are some 
differences among the guidance with respect to several weak fronts 
that are expected to move through the region. For now will have 
mostly clear skies through next week with temperatures near 
seasonal averages. 


Dunn 


&& 


Aviation... 
/issued 1152 PM CST Friday Nov 21 2014/ 
generally IFR conditions are prevailing across the region but MVFR 
and VFR ceilings are now just south of Waco where moisture advection 
is tapering off. Will show ceilings at IFR overnight and through middle 
morning Saturday for the metroplex...but for Waco these may 
prevail at low MVFR. Ceilings should lift to MVFR by late morning but 
will likely stay MVFR through the taf period. 


Some scattered convection is currently moving through the region 
on the leading edge of a surge of Gulf moisture. This should 
continue through 9z or so. While isolated thunder is certainly 
possible...most activity will stay as showers. The true 
thunderstorm activity should stay just west of the taf sites...and 
it may get close enough to afw/ftw to warrant an inclusion of thunderstorms in the vicinity 
during the overnight hours. Have held off on this...but will 
continue to watch radar trends. Light br or dz will be possible 
during the late overnight and early morning hours...but generally 
no significant convection is expected at taf sites until Saturday 
afternoon. Will bring thunderstorms in the vicinity into tafs from west to east around 
midday Saturday. Confidence is high enough to show prevailing thunderstorms and rain 
from middle to late afternoon at all taf sites...with prevailing 
steady rain and thunderstorms in the vicinity until 3-4z Sunday when it should end from 
west to east. 


Southeast winds at 10-15kt will prevail until storms arrive when 
winds will be variable with higher gusts. Winds should take on a 
northeasterly direction after initial wave of storms by late 
afternoon...but winds will switch to the southwest at 5-10kt once 
rain ends Saturday night. 


Looking ahead into Sunday...westerly winds will increase as 
daytime mixing occurs...which may result in some crosswind issues on 
north-S runways. Based on 850mb winds and rule of thumb for surface 
winds...west winds at 20g30kt may be possible early to middle 
afternoon Sunday. These winds will not be as strong as the 
crosswind event in October...but may be enough to restrict 
traffic volume. 


Tr.92 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 67 56 72 44 63 / 100 70 5 0 5 
Waco, Texas 69 53 77 43 64 / 100 70 5 0 5 
Paris, Texas 64 56 71 41 59 / 100 100 10 0 5 
Denton, Texas 66 51 72 39 62 / 100 70 10 0 5 
McKinney, Texas 66 56 71 39 62 / 100 90 10 0 5 
Dallas, Texas 68 57 73 44 62 / 100 80 5 0 5 
Terrell, Texas 68 57 74 41 62 / 100 100 10 0 5 
Corsicana, Texas 69 56 75 45 64 / 100 90 10 0 5 
Temple, Texas 69 54 77 43 64 / 100 60 5 0 5 
Mineral Wells, Texas 68 50 72 36 62 / 100 30 5 0 5 


&& 


Forward watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 










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