The Colony, Texas Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 90°
  • Scattered Clouds
  • Wind: South 13 mph
  • Humidity: 52%
  • Visibility: 13.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 70°
  • Pressure: 29.77 in. -
  • Heat Index: 95

Nowcast

  • Now as of 12:57 PM CDT on July 4, 2015

    Showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop through mid afternoon in an area east of Highway 75 and along and north of I-30. The activity will move east at 20 mph and may produce up to one quarter of an inch of rainfall. Storms will also produce frequent lightning and may produce gusty winds. Additional isolated showers and thunderstorms will also develop in central Texas south of a line from Hamilton to Palestine. Otherwise...warm and humid conditions can be expected today with temperatures peaking in the lower 90s at most locations. Afternoon heat indices should peak in the mid 90s to near 100 degrees between 2 and 5 PM. Person engaged in outside activities should drink plenty of water and seek cooler conditions periodically to avoid heat related physically problems.

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Next 12 Hours

2  pm
5  pm
8  pm
11  pm
2  am
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
93°
94°
88°
83°
80°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 94 °
  • Low: 76 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Sunday
  • Clear
  • High: 95 °
  • Low: 77 °
  • Clear
  • Monday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 96 °
  • Low: 77 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Tuesday
  • Overcast
  • High: 92 °
  • Low: 76 °
  • Overcast
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 90 °
  • Low: 76 °
  • Chance of T-Storms

Forecast for The Colony, Texas

Updated: 11:43 am CDT on July 4, 2015

  • Rest of Today

    Mostly sunny. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the morning. Highs in the lower 90s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.

  • Tonight

    Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

  • Monday

    Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. South winds 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph by noon. Gusts up to 30 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s.

  • Tuesday

    Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly sunny. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s.

  • Tuesday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s.

  • Wednesday

    Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly sunny. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s.

  • Thursday

    Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.

  • Friday

    Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Roberts Drive, The Colony, TX

Updated: 1:56 PM CDT

Temperature: 94.3 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 107 °F Graphs

Location: lakeview, The Colony, TX

Updated: 2:00 PM CDT

Temperature: 90.5 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: South at 3.4 mph Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 98 °F Graphs

Location: North Colony/Morning Star, The Colony, TX

Updated: 1:54 PM CDT

Temperature: 90.9 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 58% Wind: SSW at 4.2 mph Pressure: 29.73 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 101 °F Graphs

Location: Waterstone, Frisco, TX

Updated: 1:50 PM CDT

Temperature: 95.9 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: WSW at 4.2 mph Pressure: 29.61 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 111 °F Graphs

Location: Quail Meadow Village, Frisco, TX

Updated: 1:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 97.3 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.97 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 110 °F Graphs

Location: Ridgepointe, The Colony, TX

Updated: 1:57 PM CDT

Temperature: 98.4 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: SSE at 9.8 mph Pressure: 29.64 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 111 °F Graphs

Location: The Tribute / The Glen, The Colony, TX

Updated: 1:56 PM CDT

Temperature: 93.2 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: West at 5.0 mph Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 103 °F Graphs

Location: Creekside at Country Club Dr, Frisco, TX

Updated: 2:00 PM CDT

Temperature: 89.2 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 59% Wind: SSE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 97 °F Graphs

Location: Heritage Village-Phase II, Frisco, TX

Updated: 2:00 PM CDT

Temperature: 94.3 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: SSW at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 107 °F Graphs

Location: Westfalls Village, Frisco, TX

Updated: 2:00 PM CDT

Temperature: 90.4 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: West at 4.8 mph Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 98 °F Graphs

Location: Village Lakes, Frisco, TX

Updated: 1:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 89.4 °F Dew Point: 77 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 102 °F Graphs

Location: Castle Hills North, Lewisville, TX

Updated: 1:59 PM CDT

Temperature: 91.9 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: SW at 12.0 mph Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 101 °F Graphs

Location: Legacy Drive, Frisco, TX

Updated: 1:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 86.5 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.97 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 95 °F Graphs

Location: Northeast Carrollton, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 12:45 PM CDT

Temperature: 91.9 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 60% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 104 °F Graphs

Location: Northeast Carrollton, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 1:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 90.3 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 57% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 99 °F Graphs

Location: Castle Hills, Lewisville, TX

Updated: 1:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 90.9 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 102 °F Graphs

Location: the BIVOUAC @ Preston, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 1:50 PM CDT

Temperature: 94.1 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: West at 8.3 mph Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 103 °F Graphs

Location: Near Brinker Elementary, Plano, TX

Updated: 1:59 PM CDT

Temperature: 93.3 °F Dew Point: 80 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 113 °F Graphs

Location: Heather Ridge Estates, Frisco, TX

Updated: 1:56 PM CDT

Temperature: 94.7 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: WSW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 106 °F Graphs

Location: Meadow Ridge, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 1:58 PM CDT

Temperature: 93.0 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: SSE at 5.6 mph Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 103 °F Graphs

Location: WB8GRS - Little Elm, TX, WB8GRS, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 1:59 PM CDT

Temperature: 93.3 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: SSW at 6.0 mph Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 104 °F Graphs

Location: Smith Estates, Frisco, TX

Updated: 1:59 PM CDT

Temperature: 93.7 °F Dew Point: 78 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: WSW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 110 °F Graphs

Location: Eldorado Estates III, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 1:59 PM CDT

Temperature: 92.3 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: South at 5.8 mph Pressure: 29.71 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 100 °F Graphs

Location: Cottonwood, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 2:00 PM CDT

Temperature: 90.4 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 58% Wind: SSW at 8.0 mph Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 99 °F Graphs

Location: Frisco Original Donation, Frisco, TX

Updated: 1:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 89.1 °F Dew Point: 77 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 101 °F Graphs

Location: Oak Hills, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 2:00 PM CDT

Temperature: 94.8 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: South at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 104 °F Graphs

Location: North Central Carrollton, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 1:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 89.1 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 58% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 97 °F Graphs

Location: Woodrow Circle, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 1:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 94.8 °F Dew Point: 77 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 108 °F Graphs

Location: Villages of Woodlake, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 1:57 PM CDT

Temperature: 97.3 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 42% Wind: SW at 4.2 mph Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 105 °F Graphs

Location: Northwest Carrollton, Lewisville, TX

Updated: 1:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 90.7 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 62% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 103 °F Graphs

Location: Wynfield Farms, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 1:50 PM CDT

Temperature: 94.1 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: SSW at 4.2 mph Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 105 °F Graphs

Location: W. Park St., Little Elm, TX

Updated: 1:59 PM CDT

Temperature: 93.2 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: NW at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 103 °F Graphs

Location: Willow Bend, Plano, TX

Updated: 1:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 90.7 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 102 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas 
1235 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2015 


Aviation... 


Concerns...afternoon convection near/east of the metroplex and 
MVFR ceilings. 


MVFR ceilings currently at kact should lift and give way to VFR 
conditions soon...but another brief round is possible Sunday 
morning at kact and across the central and eastern portions of the 
metroplex. 


Isolated to widely scattered afternoon convection should develop 
mainly east of the I-35/35e corridor this afternoon. 
However...morning convection revealed an area of convergence along 
and just north of I-30...east of kdfw...that may develop a few 
cells around the metroplex middle to late afternoon. Thus have 
retained the thunderstorms in the vicinity for the 21-00z time period. 


Southerly winds at 10-15 knots should continue through the 
forecast. 75 


&& 


Update... 


Updated the forecast to lower probability of precipitation for most locations across north 
and central Texas through tonight. 


12z subjective upper air analysis showed a shortwave trough over 
arklatex. Water vapor satellite imagery showed this feature moving 
southeast which should favor weak subsidence over North Texas in 
its wake. At the 850 mb level...dew points were still quite 
high...observed around 15 degree c across the Southern 
Plains...however the wind field was characterized by divergent or 
anticyclonic flow. The early morning mesoscale convective system activity that was 
expected to impact our northeastern County Warning Area occurred...but was 
displaced 75 miles to the east along the Louisiana/Arkansas 
border. Late morning surface analysis did not identify any obvious 
surface boundaries across the County Warning Area. Temperatures had already 
climbed into the middle to upper 80s for most locations...while dew 
points were holding steady in the lower 70s. 


The warm start to the day combined with dew points not mixing out 
does raise a concern for the potential for air mass thunderstorm 
development during the peak heating hours of the day today. The 
main reason probability of precipitation were lowered for this afternoon is that despite 
the warm temperatures and relatively high dew point values across 
the County Warning Area...visible satellite imagery indicated that there was no 
surface based cumulus field across North Texas. With similar 
surface conditions observed across central Texas which had a 
surface based cumulus field...the Assumption is that large scale 
subsidence is working against surface based cumulus from 
condensing/developing late this morning. 


Assuming subsidence is in place...which makes sense based on the 
cwa's relative position to the shortwave trough...rain shower and 
thunderstorm chances are looking less likely for this afternoon 
and evening. Dropped probability of precipitation by 10 percent pretty much across the 
region...so most locations now have a 10 percent chance of storms 
for this afternoon and evening. Left some 20 percent probability of precipitation across 
the far eastern and southeastern County Warning Area were dew points were in or 
closer to the middle 70s as "pop up" air mass thunderstorms appear to 
be more likely in these locations. 


Will continue to monitor short term conditions and will update the 
forecast if it looks like storms are more of a threat to 
Independence day festivities this afternoon and evening. As it 
looks right now...most locations will remain dry through tonight. 


Cavanaugh 


&& 


Previous discussion... /issued 300 am CDT Sat Jul 4 2015/ 
a Broad View of the Continental U.S. Reveals an upper trough extending from 
the Great Lakes southward to the Tennessee Valley...with the base 
of the trough tailing westward into the Southern Plains. A 
combination of lift associated with the upper level feature...a 
stationary front...and outflow from earlier showers and 
thunderstorms continues to allow nocturnal convection to persist 
across central and southeast Oklahoma early this morning. As these 
mesoscale boundaries push south...we will likely see showers and 
storms develop across the northeastern quadrant of North Texas 
late this morning and into the afternoon. 


Some of the computer models continue to advertise more widespread 
convection across the rest of the region...but the most recent 
trends indicate otherwise. It is possible that the veered winds at 
the lower levels may be hindering development the farther south 
and west of the upper trough you go. Whatever the case...a few 
models such as the nam12 and the Texas tech WRF appear to be 
handling the current pattern pretty well and we will use them as a 
starting point for today/S probability of precipitation...with the highest near 
Paris...and the lowest near Lampasas. If outflow pushes farther 
southwest than planned we will adjust probability of precipitation accordingly. 


Anyway...moisture and instability will be sufficient to allow a 
few storms to become strong with gusty winds and heavy rain. 
For the evening festivities...convection should behave similar to 
last night with activity diminishing around sunset as surface 
heating wanes. Isolated storms may persist into the night across 
the east and northeast counties where lift from the trough will be 
strongest. 


Most activity will have shifted east of the region by 
Sunday...and generally hot and dry conditions are expected on 
Monday. Flow becomes more zonal on Tuesday...and a weak shortwave 
is prognosticated to move east across the Southern Plains Tuesday and 
Wednesday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms associated with 
the shortwave will affect mainly the northern half of the region 
on Tuesday...with isolated thunderstorms lingering Wednesday as 
the weak feature exits to the east. A strengthening upper ridge 
will provide seasonably hot and rain-free conditions during the 
second half of next week and into next weekend. 


30 






&& 




Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 93 76 93 77 93 / 20 10 10 5 5 
Waco, Texas 90 75 92 75 92 / 10 10 10 5 5 
Paris, Texas 89 73 88 74 90 / 40 20 20 10 10 
Denton, Texas 91 75 92 76 93 / 20 10 10 5 5 
McKinney, Texas 92 75 91 75 91 / 20 10 10 5 5 
Dallas, Texas 93 76 94 77 93 / 20 10 10 5 5 
Terrell, Texas 90 74 90 74 91 / 20 10 10 5 5 
Corsicana, Texas 91 75 92 75 92 / 20 10 10 5 5 
Temple, Texas 90 74 92 75 92 / 10 10 10 5 5 
Mineral Wells, Texas 91 74 93 74 93 / 10 10 10 5 5 


&& 


Forward watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 


75 






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