Southlake, Texas Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 92°
  • Scattered Clouds
  • Wind: South 7 mph
  • Humidity: 47%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 69°
  • Pressure: 29.91 in. -
  • Heat Index: 97

Nowcast

  • Now as of 3:02 PM CDT on July 4, 2015

    Isolated showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop this afternoon mainly east of a line from Bowie to Gatesville. This activity is fairly short lived...usually lasting less than 30 minutes and may produce up to one quarter of an inch of rainfall. Storms will also produce frequent lightning and may produce gusty winds. Otherwise...warm and humid conditions can be expected with temperatures peaking in the lower 90s at most locations. Afternoon heat indices will make it feel like it is in the mid 90s to near 100 degrees. Persons engaged in outside activities should drink plenty of water and seek cooler conditions periodically to avoid heat related physically problems.

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Next 12 Hours

4  pm
7  pm
10  pm
1  am
4  am
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
94°
90°
83°
80°
78°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 98 °
  • Low: 75 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Sunday
  • Clear
  • High: 95 °
  • Low: 76 °
  • Clear
  • Monday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 95 °
  • Low: 76 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Tuesday
  • Overcast
  • High: 93 °
  • Low: 75 °
  • Overcast
  • Wednesday
  • Overcast
  • High: 92 °
  • Low: 75 °
  • Overcast

Forecast for Southlake, Texas

Updated: 3:10 PM CDT on July 4, 2015

  • Tonight

    Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday

    Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

  • Monday

    Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. South winds 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph by noon. Gusts up to 30 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s.

  • Tuesday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s.

  • Wednesday

    Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly sunny. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s.

  • Thursday

    Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s.

  • Thursday Night

    Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s.

  • Friday

    Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s.

  • Friday Night

    Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s.

  • Saturday

    Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: TIMBERLAKE NEIGHBORHOOD, Southlake, TX

Updated: 3:36 PM CDT

Temperature: 95.7 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: SW at 1.1 mph Pressure: 29.53 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 105 °F Graphs

Location: Liberty Park, Southlake, TX

Updated: 3:40 PM CDT

Temperature: 91.7 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 56% Wind: SE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 101 °F Graphs

Location: Kirkwood Hollow, Southlake, TX

Updated: 3:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 94.7 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: South at 1.1 mph Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 107 °F Graphs

Location: Saint Laurent Court, Southlake, TX

Updated: 1:32 PM CDT

Temperature: 90.9 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 62% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 103 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Grapevine, TX

Updated: 3:09 PM CDT

Temperature: 92 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 37% Wind: North at 1 mph Pressure: 29.55 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 93 °F Graphs

Location: Country Moss Way, Southlake, TX

Updated: 3:40 PM CDT

Temperature: 97.2 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 111 °F Graphs

Location: Southlake Woods, Southlake, TX

Updated: 3:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 95.1 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: SSW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 105 °F Graphs

Location: Loch Meadow Estates, Southlake, TX

Updated: 3:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 93.0 °F Dew Point: 78 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 108 °F Graphs

Location: Winding Creek West Drive, Southlake, TX

Updated: 3:40 PM CDT

Temperature: 90.1 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 63% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.76 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 102 °F Graphs

Location: Ponder Path, Keller, TX

Updated: 3:36 PM CDT

Temperature: 94.5 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 106 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Colleyville, TX

Updated: 3:18 PM CDT

Temperature: 91 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: West at 3 mph Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 99 °F Graphs

Location: Woodlake Apartments, Grapevine, TX

Updated: 3:40 PM CDT

Temperature: 93.9 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: SSW at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.70 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 106 °F Graphs

Location: Stonebridge, Keller, TX

Updated: 3:33 PM CDT

Temperature: 93.2 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 58% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 106 °F Graphs

Location: Stonebridge, Keller, TX

Updated: 3:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 93.0 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: SSW at 4.7 mph Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 100 °F Graphs

Location: Shorewood Drive, Grapevine, TX

Updated: 3:40 PM CDT

Temperature: 98.6 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.97 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 113 °F Graphs

Location: Twinville - Trophy Club, TX, Trophy Club, TX

Updated: 3:37 PM CDT

Temperature: 97.9 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: ESE at 7.3 mph Pressure: 29.61 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 108 °F Graphs

Location: W5CGC / KE7A Southlake Bob Jones, Southlake, TX

Updated: 3:27 PM CDT

Temperature: 93.6 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 57% Wind: SSE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 107 °F Graphs

Location: Mishak Shack in Belaire Hills Estates, Keller, TX

Updated: 3:40 PM CDT

Temperature: 92.4 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: SW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 100 °F Graphs

Location: Hidden Lakes Elementary School, Keller, TX

Updated: 3:37 PM CDT

Temperature: 96.6 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: SW at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 105 °F Graphs

Location: ODell Court, Grapevine, TX

Updated: 3:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 94.3 °F Dew Point: 55 °F Humidity: 27% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 92 °F Graphs

Location: Highland Meadows, Colleyville, TX

Updated: 3:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 91.3 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: South at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 100 °F Graphs

Location: Hidden Lakes, Keller, TX

Updated: 3:39 PM CDT

Temperature: 95.5 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: West at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 106 °F Graphs

Location: Courts, Trophy Club, TX

Updated: 12:33 PM CDT

Temperature: 91.6 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 58% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.14 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 102 °F Graphs

Location: Davis Blvd at North Tarrant Pkwy, North Richland Hills, TX

Updated: 3:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 93.0 °F Dew Point: 87 °F Humidity: 85% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.27 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 130 °F Graphs

Location: North Keller, Roanoke, TX

Updated: 3:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 94.8 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 107 °F Graphs

Location: Lk Grapevine, Grapevine, TX

Updated: 3:40 PM CDT

Temperature: 89.0 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Riverwalk Drive, Colleyville, TX

Updated: 3:40 PM CDT

Temperature: 93.2 °F Dew Point: 77 °F Humidity: 58% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 106 °F Graphs

Location: Thornbridge East, North Richland Hills, TX

Updated: 3:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 93.4 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: ESE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 103 °F Graphs

Location: Westlake, Keller, TX

Updated: 3:40 PM CDT

Temperature: 94.6 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: East at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 106 °F Graphs

Location: Jenkens Division, Downtown, Grapevine, TX

Updated: 3:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 94.6 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 42% Wind: NW at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.18 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 99 °F Graphs

Location: Countryside Estates, Grapevine, TX

Updated: 3:37 PM CDT

Temperature: 95.2 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 43% Wind: SE at 4.2 mph Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 101 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Roanoke, TX

Updated: 3:19 PM CDT

Temperature: 94 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 57% Wind: South at 1 mph Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 108 °F Graphs

Location: Chris Craft Drive, Grapevine, TX

Updated: 3:40 PM CDT

Temperature: 91.9 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 60% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 104 °F Graphs

Location: Durango Drive, Trophy Club, TX

Updated: 3:36 PM CDT

Temperature: 95.5 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 108 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Flower Mound, TX

Updated: 3:05 PM CDT

Temperature: 93 °F Dew Point: 77 °F Humidity: 60% Wind: South at 1 mph Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 107 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas 
320 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2015 


Discussion... 


Early afternoon regional radars observed some isolated rain 
showers developing along the Red River...and south near a line 
from Copperas Cove to Centerville across central Texas. The good 
news for this evening's Independence day festivities is that 
satellite...surface...and radar data do not indicate any source of 
organized lift to support these isolated showers. Without an 
obvious source of lift...assume buoyancy is providing the primary 
means of convection initiation...and buoyancy will diminish 
quickly just before sunset as the surface heating budget turns 
over to cooling versus warming. 


Through this afternoon...extended the coverage of 20 probability of precipitation to 
include counties right along the Red River to account for the 
isolated showers and possible storms developing at 230 PM CDT. 
Left in the 20 probability of precipitation across the far southern County Warning Area in central Texas 
as isolated showers and thunderstorms were developing south and 
southeast of the County Warning Area to the Gulf Coast. Left the highest probability of precipitation in 
the far northeastern County Warning Area from Paris to Sulphur Springs as outflow 
from the persistent multi-cellular convection near arklatex has 
left an outflow boundary right at the Lamar/Red River County line. 
Southwesterly flow impinging upon this outflow boundary has been 
causing a regeneration of storms for a couple of hours now...and 
this activity may continue to back build over Lamar...Delta...and 
Hopkins counties through this evening. Left 10 probability of precipitation in place for 
most other areas as a "pop-up" shower or thunderstorm driven by 
the heating of the day/buoyancy is hard to rule out just about 
anywhere across north and central Texas through 7 PM. 


For this evening...think that any buoyancy driven isolated showers 
and storms will tend to dissipate quickly as we approach 
sunset...before 9 PM. The main area of concern for where 
thunderstorms could interrupt evening Independence day activities 
is in the far northeastern County Warning Area...east of a Bonham to Greenville to 
Emory line. If convection continues to back build from Red River 
County...it may continue for a couple of hours past sunset. Think 
that with subsidence working its way over the region in 
general...that a lot of this ongoing activity will weaken and 
dissipate with the loss of daytime heating. Will only carry 20 
probability of precipitation this evening as a result. Think most locations will remain 
dry this evening...and most Independence day celebrations should 
be able to commence without delay or interruption from 
thunderstorm activity. 


Sunday...many of the convection parameterizing models continue to 
advertise quantitative precipitation forecast over large portions of the County Warning Area on Sunday. At this 
time...simply went ahead with 10 probability of precipitation in the forecast for most of 
the County Warning Area as an organized lifting mechanism was difficult to Pin 
Point in any of the model data. Water vapor satellite imagery does 
show a series of weak shortwave troughs embedded in northwest flow 
in place over the northern and Central Plains...however the upper 
level ridge in place over far West Texas and New Mexico appears to 
be large enough to keep this energy east of North Texas. Think 
that most areas will remain dry on Sunday with weak upper level 
ridging in place. 


If the ongoing multi-cellular convection simply continues to 
regenerate storms through this evening...it may leave a strong 
enough cold pool in place to maintain a boundary over the far 
eastern County Warning Area for Sunday. If a coherent boundary is in place over 
the eastern County Warning Area tomorrow...the lift would tend to be on the 
western side of this boundary as our County Warning Area would represent the 
warmer side of this weak front. Left some 20 probability of precipitation in place along a 
line from Bonham to Emory to Hearne to account for this 
possibility. However...if no boundary is in place...may be able to 
lower these probability of precipitation tomorrow. Once again it will be difficult to rule 
out the possibility of isolated air mass thunderstorms developing 
during the peak heating hours of the day just about anywhere 
across the County Warning Area...so left 10 probability of precipitation in place as mentioned above. 


A strong upper trough is expected to move east across the northern 
plains on Monday...sending a cold front south across the Central 
Plains. During the day on Monday...this trough is only expected to 
send a shortwave ridge over north and central Texas. This forcing 
for subsidence should keep the County Warning Area dry on Monday. By Monday 
night...most model guidance indicates that the cold front will be 
lined up with numerous showers and thunderstorms. These storms 
should only add rain cooled air to the cold front...which should 
help send the front farther south into the Southern Plains Monday 
night into Tuesday morning. Depending on how strong the storms are 
along this front...this front may bring some showers and 
thunderstorms over the northwestern portions of the County Warning Area Monday 
night. If the front does make it into North Texas on Tuesday...it 
will probably stall out and provide a focus for scattered 
thunderstorm redevelopment from Tuesday afternoon through 
Wednesday afternoon. 


At this time kept probability of precipitation in the 30 to 40 percent range...slightly 
below guidance...because confidence in the front making it into 
the County Warning Area is not overly high. Models indicate that the upper level 
support that drives the front south moves off to the east by 
Monday night. It seems like models are basically relying on the 
strength and coverage of convection along the front to drag it 
south across North Texas. This is certainly a valid 
solution...strong consolidated cold pools often times act just 
like synoptic cold fronts. The main reason confidence in this 
solution is not overly high is because the models that are 
advertising this solution do not explicitly forecast 
convection...but rather parameterize convection to save 
computation time. 


Convection is complex...and if the front does not have as many 
storms along it as models are indicating at this time...it may 
stall out northwest of the County Warning Area. If that occurs...our rain chances 
would be much lower than advertised. Can not ignore the fact that 
the GFS/ECMWF/Canadian all bring this front into North Texas...so 
will continue to side with this consensus unless observation 
data...I.E. A sparse coverage of storms along the front 
upstream...indicates otherwise. Assuming the front makes it to 
North Texas...aside from scattered thunderstorms Tuesday and 
Wednesday...temperatures should remain in the upper 80s to lower 
90s for most locations. 


Thursday through Sunday...the consensus of guidance indicates that 
upper level ridging will build up over the Southern Plains. 
Assuming upper level ridging strengthens over the region during 
this period as advertised...we should remain dry while heat builds 
up through the weekend. Will likely see some 100 degree readings 
west of Interstate 35 next weekend where low-level moisture is 
expected to mix out the most. The remainder of the County Warning Area should see 
highs start out in the middle 90s...climbing into the upper 90s. 


Cavanaugh 


&& 


Aviation... 
/issued 1235 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2015/ 


Concerns...afternoon convection near/east of the metroplex and 
MVFR ceilings. 


MVFR ceilings currently at kact should lift and give way to VFR 
conditions soon...but another brief round is possible Sunday 
morning at kact and across the central and eastern portions of the 
metroplex. 


Isolated to widely scattered afternoon convection should develop 
mainly east of the I-35/35e corridor this afternoon. 
However...morning convection revealed an area of convergence along 
and just north of I-30...east of kdfw...that may develop a few 
cells around the metroplex middle to late afternoon. Thus have 
retained the thunderstorms in the vicinity for the 21-00z time period. 


Southerly winds at 10-15 knots should continue through the 
forecast. 75 




&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 76 93 77 93 77 / 10 10 5 5 10 
Waco, Texas 75 92 75 93 76 / 10 10 5 5 5 
Paris, Texas 73 89 74 90 75 / 20 20 10 10 10 
Denton, Texas 75 92 75 93 76 / 10 10 5 5 10 
McKinney, Texas 75 91 75 91 76 / 10 10 5 5 10 
Dallas, Texas 77 94 77 94 77 / 10 10 5 5 10 
Terrell, Texas 75 90 75 92 76 / 10 10 5 5 10 
Corsicana, Texas 75 92 75 92 76 / 10 10 5 5 5 
Temple, Texas 74 91 74 92 76 / 10 10 5 5 5 
Mineral Wells, Texas 74 92 74 93 75 / 10 10 5 5 10 


&& 


Forward watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 



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