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Nowcast

• 

• Now as of 5:23 PM CDT on June 19, 2013

  Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue across North Texas with the highest chances west of Interstate 35. Severe chances are decreasing...but small hail and gusty winds are possible. Storms are expected to weaken through the evening.

Next 12 Hours

Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

• Wednesday
• 
• High: 91 °
• Low: 75 °
• Chance of a Thunderstorm

• Thursday
• 
• High: 95 °
• Low: 75 °
• Partly Cloudy

• Friday
• 
• High: 95 °
• Low: 75 °
• Partly Cloudy

• Saturday
• 
• High: 95 °
• Low: 75 °
• Partly Cloudy

• Sunday
• 
• High: 91 °
• Low: 79 °
• Partly Cloudy

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas 
307 PM CDT Wednesday Jun 19 2013 


Discussion... 
the weak and diffused warm front is hard to see in the mass fields 
this afternoon...but scattered convection from Centerville and 
Palestine to Glen Rose and Olney reveal where it likely is 
positioned. Expect this convection to continue through the rest 
of the afternoon as the front continues to lift northward...then 
diminish with the loss of heating around sunset. The remnants of 
the mesoscale convective system should also continue moving southeast as well. Due to slow 
movement of most of the storms...very heavy rainfall could lead to 
some flash flooding issues. Downburst winds are expected from the 
storms extending from Glen Rose to Centerville...while there is a 
large hail and damaging wind potential from the mesoscale convective system storms moving 
through the western counties. 


After the convection ends this evening...we are not seeing much 
chance for more precipitation areawide through next week. There 
may be some East Texas storms on Thursday afternoon...and one or 
two of these may slide into our eastern counties. Have added 
10-14 probability of precipitation for this possibility...but did not include any wording 
in the forecast. 


An upper level ridge will become dominate across the state 
tomorrow and remain so through the end of this forecast. This will 
allow area temperatures to average about 3-5 degrees above normal 
this weekend and most of next week. Both the GFS and European model (ecmwf) models 
indicate the upper ridge could lift slightly north or northwest of 
the region middle to late next week...which could open the door for a 
late season back-door cold front or an easterly wave from the 
Gulf...depending on where the ridge GOES. 75 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 74 93 74 95 73 / 10 0 0 0 0 
Waco, Texas 74 93 73 94 72 / 10 0 0 0 0 
Paris, Texas 71 90 72 91 72 / 10 10 5 5 5 
Denton, Texas 73 92 73 91 71 / 10 0 0 0 0 
McKinney, Texas 72 91 72 92 71 / 10 5 0 0 0 
Dallas, Texas 77 94 76 95 75 / 10 0 0 0 0 
Terrell, Texas 73 92 73 93 73 / 10 5 0 5 5 
Corsicana, Texas 74 93 73 93 73 / 10 5 0 0 0 
Temple, Texas 72 93 72 93 71 / 10 0 0 0 0 
Mineral Wells, Texas 72 94 71 92 70 / 5 0 0 0 0 


&& 


Forward watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 


/75