Mesquite, Texas Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 88°
  • Clear
  • Wind: South 8 mph
  • Humidity: 58%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 72°
  • Pressure: 29.91 in. -
  • Heat Index: 94

Nowcast

  • Now as of 4:03 PM CDT on July 3, 2015

    Isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue through the remainder of the afternoon as daytime heating continues and low level moisture streams northward. This activity will move towards the southeast at around 15 to 20 mph. The main hazards with thunderstorms through the rest of the afternoon will be gusty winds...cloud to ground lightning...and heavy rain. Heavy rain may result in areas of minor flooding...especially across low lying areas. The best rain chances will be along and north of the Interstate 20 corridor. Shower and thunderstorm activity should wane through the late evening hours. Otherwise...conditions will be warm and humid. Temperatures will top out around the upper 80s to mid 90s. Heat index values will likely climb into the mid to upper 90s beneath partly to mostly sunny skies.

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Next 12 Hours

7  pm
10  pm
1  am
4  am
7  am
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
88°
83°
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77°
76°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 95 °
  • Low: 74 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 95 °
  • Low: 75 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 97 °
  • Low: 76 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Tuesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 93 °
  • Low: 75 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 91 °
  • Low: 75 °
  • Chance of T-Storms

Forecast for Mesquite, Texas

Updated: 3:23 PM CDT on July 3, 2015

  • Tonight

    Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

  • Independence Day

    Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

  • Monday

    Partly sunny in the morning then becoming mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s.

  • Tuesday

    Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s.

  • Tuesday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s.

  • Wednesday

    Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly sunny. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s.

  • Thursday

    Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s.

  • Thursday Night

    Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s.

  • Friday

    Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Flood Warning  Statement as of 9:45 am CDT on July 3, 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River at Dallas.
* At 0900 am Friday the stage was 27.92 feet.
* Flood stage is 30 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast... the river is expected to rise to flood stage by
Sunday night and crest near 31 feet by Monday afternoon.
The river should fall below flood stage by Tuesday night.
* At 30 feet, minor lowland flooding will begin. The Pasture lands
near the river will flood.


Lat... Lon 3275 9693 3281 9693 3283 9683 3275 9671
      3269 9676 3278 9687




945 am CDT Fri Jul 3 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
the Elm Fork Trinity River near Carrollton.
* At 0915 am Friday the stage was 7.98 feet.
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast... the river is expected to rise to flood stage later
this morning and remain near 8 feet through the afternoon.
* At 8 feet, minor flooding will occur downstream from the gage.


Lat... Lon 3300 9700 3287 9699 3287 9687 3300 9688





Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Galloway, Mesquite, TX

Updated: 6:40 PM CDT

Temperature: 88.8 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: NE at 2.1 mph Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 92 °F Graphs

Location: Valley Creek, Mesquite, TX

Updated: 6:37 PM CDT

Temperature: 90.3 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: North at 1.1 mph Pressure: 29.59 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 97 °F Graphs

Location: Mesquite (Town East), Mesquite, TX

Updated: 6:29 PM CDT

Temperature: 89.4 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 60% Wind: SE at 5.3 mph Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 98 °F Graphs

Location: Stoney Creek, Sunnyvale, TX

Updated: 6:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 92.3 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: SW at 3.8 mph Pressure: 29.76 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 102 °F Graphs

Location: Palos Verdes Estates, Mesquite, TX

Updated: 6:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 89.4 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 58% Wind: SW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 97 °F Graphs

Location: Mesquite Texas, Balch Springs, TX

Updated: 6:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 89.2 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 57% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 96 °F Graphs

Location: Boo's Weather Page - North Mesquite, Mesquite, TX

Updated: 6:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 89.1 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.29 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 91 °F Graphs

Location: Mesquite Weather, Mesquite, TX

Updated: 6:40 PM CDT

Temperature: 88.3 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 96 °F Graphs

Location: Stoney Glen, Dallas, TX

Updated: 6:37 PM CDT

Temperature: 90.3 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 97 °F Graphs

Location: Buckner Terrace, Dallas, TX

Updated: 6:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 88.9 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 65% Wind: SW at 2.3 mph Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 100 °F Graphs

Location: Lake Crest Park, Garland, TX

Updated: 6:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 88.3 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 96 °F Graphs

Location: Pecan Grove Court, Dallas, TX

Updated: 6:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 87.8 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 95 °F Graphs

Location: Buckner Terrace / Everglade Park, Dallas, TX

Updated: 6:36 PM CDT

Temperature: 89.8 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 59% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 99 °F Graphs

Location: Forest Hills, Dallas, TX

Updated: 6:37 PM CDT

Temperature: 93.2 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: ESE at 6.8 mph Pressure: 29.53 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 103 °F Graphs

Location: Little Forest Hills, Dallas, TX

Updated: 6:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 87.8 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: SE at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 97 °F Graphs

Location: White Rock Lake Park Estate, Dallas, TX

Updated: 6:40 PM CDT

Temperature: 88.7 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 65% Wind: ESE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 99 °F Graphs

Location: Autumn Leaves, Dallas, TX

Updated: 6:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 88.5 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 38% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.38 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 88 °F Graphs

Location: Lk Ray Hubbard, Garland, TX

Updated: 6:31 PM CDT

Temperature: 87.6 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.37 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Eastwood Estates, Dallas, TX

Updated: 6:36 PM CDT

Temperature: 94.3 °F Dew Point: 78 °F Humidity: 60% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 111 °F Graphs

Location: Skyline Estates, Forney, TX

Updated: 6:32 PM CDT

Temperature: 90.3 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 62% Wind: ESE at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.65 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 102 °F Graphs

Location: Lakewood, Dallas, TX

Updated: 6:40 PM CDT

Temperature: 91.0 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 56% Wind: West at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 100 °F Graphs

Location: Ridgewood Estates, Garland, TX

Updated: 6:40 PM CDT

Temperature: 89.4 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 58% Wind: SW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 97 °F Graphs

Location: Westshore Estates, Garland, TX

Updated: 6:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 88.8 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 60% Wind: South at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 97 °F Graphs

Location: Orchard Hills, Garland, TX

Updated: 6:29 PM CDT

Temperature: 89.6 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 57% Wind: WSW at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 97 °F Graphs

Location: Westwood Shores, Rowlett, TX

Updated: 6:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 88.7 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 62% Wind: South at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.29 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 98 °F Graphs

Location: Heathen One, Heath, TX

Updated: 6:35 PM CDT

Temperature: 87.7 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: South at 5.0 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 97 °F Graphs

Location: Dogwood Trail, Forney, TX

Updated: 6:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 88.3 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: SSW at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 98 °F Graphs

Location: Serk's Back Yard, Rowlett, TX

Updated: 6:33 PM CDT

Temperature: 89.8 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 58% Wind: West at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.64 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 98 °F Graphs

Location: South Fulton Street, Dallas, TX

Updated: 6:36 PM CDT

Temperature: 85.8 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.97 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 95 °F Graphs

Location: Harbor Pointe, Rowlett, TX

Updated: 6:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 90.1 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 57% Wind: SSW at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.60 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 98 °F Graphs

Location: Lakewood / Dallas TX, Dallas, TX

Updated: 6:36 PM CDT

Temperature: 91.4 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 100 °F Graphs

Location: Lakewood, Dallas, TX

Updated: 6:40 PM CDT

Temperature: 92.8 °F Dew Point: 77 °F Humidity: 59% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.97 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 106 °F Graphs

Location: Lakewood, Dallas, TX

Updated: 6:36 PM CDT

Temperature: 84.9 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 92 °F Graphs

Location: Grayhawk, Forney, TX

Updated: 6:24 PM CDT

Temperature: 88.5 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: SSE at 4.7 mph Pressure: 29.76 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 100 °F Graphs

Location: Lake Highlands, Dallas, TX

Updated: 6:36 PM CDT

Temperature: 88.7 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 65% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 99 °F Graphs

Location: Bryan Parkway, Dallas, TX

Updated: 6:41 PM CDT

Temperature: 88.5 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: ESE at 6.0 mph Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 92 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Dallas, TX

Updated: 6:14 PM CDT

Temperature: 88 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 96 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas 
639 PM CDT Friday Jul 3 2015 


Aviation... 
the trend during the afternoon has been for the thunderstorms 
across southern Oklahoma to weaken as they moved southeast into 
North Texas. Expect this trend to continue this evening. The 
showers that formed farther south...closer to the I-20 corridor... 
have been short-lived. Besides some scattered storms along the Red 
River...expect only isolated showers/thunderstorms this evening. 


There will be a slight chance of thunderstorms overnight through 
Saturday along and north of the I-20 corridor...but the chances 
are too low to mention in the metroplex taf sites. MVFR ceilings 
are expected to develop across south central Texas by 06z...and 
spread into the Waco area by 10z. Expect these low clouds to 
scatter out by 16z with VFR conditions expected thereafter. South 
winds around 10 knots will prevail during the 36 hours. 


58 


&& 




Previous discussion... /issued 320 PM CDT Friday Jul 3 2015/ 


From the early afternoon forecast discussion...the primary short 
term forecast concern continues to center on the chances for new 
thunderstorms developing along a weak frontal boundary located 
just south of the Red River. 2 PM surface observations indicated 
that the weak front was in place roughly along a Bowie to McKinney 
to Emory line. The front has reoriented itself from east to west 
earlier this morning to northwest to southeast this afternoon. 
Water vapor satellite imagery continues to track one weak 
shortwave moving away from the Southern Plains...with a second... 
slightly stronger...shortwave trough moving south-southeast over 
western Nebraska. 


Through this evening...neither of these troughs is in a position 
to spread lift across North Texas...so think that the weak frontal 
boundary will continue to be the source of any new rain shower or 
thunderstorm development. Think that the coverage of storms near 
this boundary will remain scattered in nature...so do not think 
any evening Independence day related festivities will be a 
complete wash out. Delays will be possible...and most likely near 
the frontal boundary. At this time the frontal boundary has not 
really made any progress due south towards downtown Dallas or Fort 
Worth...so rain chances this evening were held in the 20 to 30 
percent range. Kept probability of precipitation in the 50 to 60 percent range close to 
the frontal boundary. 


Any storms that develop through this evening will be capable of 
producing cloud to ground lightning strikes...locally heavy 
rainfall...and locally strong wind gusts. While severe weather is 
not expected for most storms...it is difficult to rule out a 
damaging microburst from a few storms through this evening. 
Locally calculated parameters indicate that cape is on the order 
of 1500 to 2000 j/kg...with deep layer shear of 15 to 20 kts. 
Regional morning radiosonde observation analysis indicated that middle-level lapse 
rates were somewhat meager...and the kfws radiosonde observation had a precipitable 
water of 1.90 inches. These parameters support primarily a single 
to multi-cell storm Mode capable of producing the threats 
mentioned above. Widespread severe weather is not a threat at 
this time. Flooding is expected to remain localized...but could 
become a larger scale threat if the coverage of storms is greater 
than anticipated. The weak forcing along the front suggests that 
the coverage will remain scattered to isolated in 
nature...limiting the potential for widespread heavy rain and 
flooding. 


Overnight into tomorrow morning...the western Nebraska shortwave 
trough is expected to continue to move south-southeast overnight 
before swinging east tomorrow morning. This trough will spread 
some decent lift across the Southern Plains tonight...and will 
help increase deep layer shear a bit as well. As a result...think 
that the 12z NAM solution for thunderstorm chances has a good 
chance of verifying. This solution indicates that a multi-cellular 
cluster will develop across eastern Oklahoma after midnight 
tonight and move due south towards North Texas. 


Our low-level winds are expected to veer strongly out ahead of 
this cluster...and pick up in intensity to 20 to 25 kts. While 
this is not a super strong low-level jet by any means...the change 
in direction and speed in the lower troposphere does promote a 
situation where the propagation of new storm development will be 
just as strong if not a bit stronger than the mean layer or 
advective winds. As a result...the multicell cluster is expected 
to sink almost due south...while slowly building or generating new 
updrafts on the western flank of these storms dragging the cluster 
south-southwest over our northeastern County Warning Area after 09z. Have 60 
percent probability of precipitation for areas along and northeast of a Gainesville to 
Emory line late tonight through tomorrow morning to account for 
this anticipated storm motion. 


Think that the backbuilding component of the multicell cluster 
will weaken after a few hours of heating helps to mix out the 
higher momentum air within the low-level jet. With the shortwave 
trough then moving east of the region...the combination of 
subsidence behind the trough...and the low-level jet weakening 
should cause the entire complex of storms to dissipate just 
east/northeast of Dallas by 15z/10am. 


For tomorrow afternoon and evening...without any obvious upstream 
shortwave trough...thunderstorm chances are expected to remain 
tied to whatever convective outflow boundary remains in tact. Left 
probability of precipitation in the northeastern County Warning Area as the overnight multi-cell cluster 
of storms is expected to dissipate there...to the northeast of the 
dfw area tomorrow morning. If the cluster does not pan out as 
expected...probability of precipitation may be able to be removed from the forecast 
tomorrow. If the cluster moves farther southwest than 
expected...will probably need to add at least a small chance of 
probability of precipitation to wherever the outflow boundary GOES tomorrow. Most of the 
operational model guidance favors a solution that is similar to 
the NAM...so think that most of the area will remain dry for 
evening Independence day festivities tomorrow. 


Sunday and Monday...upper level shortwave ridging is expected to 
build east over the County Warning Area...so kept most areas dry with highs in 
the lower to middle 90s at this time. Any outflow boundaries that 
remain in place or move into the County Warning Area from the north or west may 
become a focus for storms. At this time only left some low probability of precipitation in 
the forecast for locations along and northeast of a Sherman to 
Emory line on Sunday as this is the most likely area where a weak 
outflow boundary may remain in place. 


Tuesday and Wednesday...medium range guidance is fairly consistent 
in indicating that a strong shortwave trough over the Canadian 
Pacific coast will move southeast over the northern plains Monday 
through Monday night. This will send a cold front south across the 
central and Southern Plains Monday night into Tuesday. Models are 
fairly aggressive with convection along this front as it moves 
southeast towards North Texas. However...this front will be 
getting farther and farther away from upper level support on 
Tuesday...so it may stall out before it ever reaches the County Warning Area. 


Think that the aggressive convection in model guidance is helping 
the front to move southeast into North Texas for Tuesday and 
Wednesday. This stalled out frontal boundary across the area 
explains why most guidance is advertising 40 to 60 probability of precipitation across a 
large portion of North Texas. Kept some precipitation chances in 
the forecast during this period...but undercut guidance because 
confidence in the front making it all the way into the County Warning Area is low 
at this time. It is fairly uncommon for a synoptic cold front to 
make it all the way into North Texas in July...so will hedge 
towards lower rain chances at this time. If the front is lined up 
with storms as it moves south...it does have a chance to make it 
into the County Warning Area as advertised. Would like to see a solid line of 
storms on that front before bringing it into North Texas however. 
If it gets here...will definitely need to increase precipitation 
chances during the period. 


Thursday through next weekend...most model guidance suggests that 
upper level ridging will build over North Texas. If we have 4-5 
days of upper level ridging from the end of next week through next 
weekend...we may start flirting with 100 degree highs across 
portions of north and central Texas. Kept highs in the upper 90s 
for now...but this is a large scale pattern that typically 
increases the heat this time of year. 


Cavanaugh 


&& 






Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 76 95 76 92 77 / 40 30 10 5 5 
Waco, Texas 74 93 74 91 75 / 20 10 10 5 5 
Paris, Texas 72 88 73 88 74 / 60 60 20 30 10 
Denton, Texas 73 95 74 91 75 / 60 40 10 10 5 
McKinney, Texas 74 89 75 90 75 / 60 50 20 10 5 
Dallas, Texas 77 95 77 93 77 / 40 30 10 5 5 
Terrell, Texas 74 89 74 89 74 / 40 50 20 10 5 
Corsicana, Texas 74 91 75 91 75 / 30 20 10 5 5 
Temple, Texas 73 93 73 91 74 / 20 10 10 10 5 
Mineral Wells, Texas 73 93 73 92 74 / 30 20 10 5 5 


&& 


Forward watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 


58/91 






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