Little Elm, Texas Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 68°
  • Overcast
  • Wind: ESE 7 mph
  • Humidity: 93%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 66°
  • Pressure: 30.09 in. -

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Next 12 Hours

5  am
8  am
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2  pm
5  pm
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
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Chance of T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
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Thunderstorm
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67°
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Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 78 °
  • Low: 68 °
  • T-Storms
  • Sunday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 76 °
  • Low: 69 °
  • T-Storms
  • Monday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 81 °
  • Low: 66 °
  • T-Storms
  • Tuesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 83 °
  • Low: 67 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 85 °
  • Low: 69 °
  • Chance of T-Storms

Forecast for Little Elm, Texas

Updated: 1:01 AM CDT on January 23, 2015

Flash Flood Watch in effect from 1 PM CDT this afternoon through Sunday evening...
  • Saturday

    Scattered thunderstorms in the morning, then mainly cloudy during the afternoon with thunderstorms likely. High 78F. Winds SE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 90%.

  • Saturday Night

    Thunderstorms likely. A few storms may be severe. Low 68F. Winds SSE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 90%. Rainfall near an inch.

  • Sunday

    Thunderstorms. A few storms may be severe. High 76F. Winds S at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Sunday Night

    Thunderstorms likely in the evening. Then the chance of scattered thunderstorms later on. Low 69F. Winds SSE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Monday

    Scattered thunderstorms in the morning becoming more widespread in the afternoon. High 81F. Winds S at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Monday Night

    Variable clouds with scattered thunderstorms. Low 66F. Winds SE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Tuesday

    Cloudy skies early, followed by partial clearing. High 83F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low 67F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Scattered thunderstorms. High near 85F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Scattered thunderstorms in the evening with some fog possible late. Low 69F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Thursday

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 83F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Thursday Night

    Scattered thunderstorms in the evening. Cloudy skies overnight. Low around 70F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Friday

    Variable clouds with scattered thunderstorms. High 81F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Friday Night

    Scattered thunderstorms during the evening becoming more widespread overnight. Low 69F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Saturday

    Thunderstorms likely. High 79F. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Saturday Night

    Thunderstorms likely. Low 68F. Winds ENE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Sunday

    Thunderstorms. High 81F. Winds E at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Sunday Night

    Showers and thunderstorms likely. Low 68F. Winds E at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Monday

    Scattered thunderstorms in the morning, then partly cloudy late. High 86F. Winds SE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Monday Night

    Partial cloudiness early, with scattered showers and thunderstorms later during the night. Low around 70F. Winds SE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Tuesday

    Isolated thunderstorms in the morning. Lots of sunshine late. High 86F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Tuesday Night

    A mostly clear sky. Low near 70F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Flood Warning  Statement as of 9:55 PM CDT on May 22, 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
the Denton creek near Justin.
* At 9 PM Friday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast... the river has crested and will continue a slow fall
however... additional rises are expected with weekend rainfall.


Lat... Lon 3311 9738 3302 9727 3307 9715 3315 9726





 Flash Flood Watch  Statement as of 9:34 PM CDT on May 22, 2015


... Flash Flood Watch remains in effect from Saturday afternoon
through Sunday evening...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* portions of north central Texas... northeast Texas and south
central Texas... including the following areas... in north central
Texas... Bell... Bosque... Collin... Comanche... Cooke...
Coryell... Dallas... Denton... Eastland... Ellis... Erath... falls...
Fannin... Freestone... Grayson... Hamilton... Hill... Hood...
Hunt... Jack... Johnson... Kaufman... Lampasas... Limestone...
McLennan... Mills... Montague... Navarro... Palo Pinto... Parker...
Rockwall... Somervell... Stephens... Tarrant... wise and Young. In
northeast Texas... Anderson... Delta... Henderson... Hopkins...
Lamar... Leon... rains and Van Zandt. In south central Texas...
Milam and Robertson.

* From Saturday afternoon through Sunday evening

* widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected to occur
across north central Texas this weekend. The heavy rain will
develop and affect the western portions of the area Saturday
afternoon... with the activity gradually spreading eastward
Saturday night and into Sunday. The soil is already
saturated... so any additional heavy rainfall will cause flash
flooding.

* Widespread rainfall of 1 to 3 inches are expected across all
of north central Texas. Higher amounts of 2 to 4 inches are
expected in the areas mainly north and west of the dfw
metroplex where localized amounts of up to 6 inches are
possible.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions are favorable for heavy
rain which may lead to flash flooding. You should monitor the
latest forecasts from the National Weather Service and be
prepared to take action should flash flood warnings be issued for
your area.



Dunn




Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: W. Park St., Little Elm, TX

Updated: 3:43 AM CDT

Temperature: 70.0 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: NE at 3.1 mph Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Woodrow Circle, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 3:38 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.1 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Cottonwood, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 3:43 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.6 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: SSE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Paloma Creek South, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 3:43 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.3 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: South at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.47 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Villages of Woodlake, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 3:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.7 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: ESE at 2.2 mph Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Dallas Corinthian YC, Oak Point (NE Shore Lake Dallas), TX

Updated: 3:43 AM CDT

Temperature: 70.3 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: East at 3.7 mph Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Cedar Pine Lane, Oak Point, TX

Updated: 3:43 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.0 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: East at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: The Shores, Lakewood Village, TX

Updated: 3:43 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.4 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: ESE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Paloma Creek North, Aubrey, TX

Updated: 3:43 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.9 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: WB8GRS - Little Elm, TX, WB8GRS, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 3:43 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.4 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: SE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Eldorado Estates III, Little Elm, TX

Updated: 3:43 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.9 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Grayhawk-North, Frisco, TX

Updated: 3:36 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.7 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: ENE at 3.2 mph Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Grayhawk, Frisco, TX

Updated: 3:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.7 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: ESE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Creek Village, Providence Village, TX

Updated: 3:35 AM CDT

Temperature: 67.6 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Westfalls Village, Frisco, TX

Updated: 3:43 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.6 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Providence, Aubrey, TX

Updated: 3:43 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.3 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: The Trails, Frisco, TX

Updated: 3:39 AM CDT

Temperature: 73.4 °F Dew Point: 56 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Waterstone, Frisco, TX

Updated: 3:33 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.1 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: NNE at 3.2 mph Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: The Tribute / The Glen, The Colony, TX

Updated: 3:29 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.4 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: East at 5.0 mph Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Heritage Village-Phase II, Frisco, TX

Updated: 3:43 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.7 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Heather Ridge Estates, Frisco, TX

Updated: 3:30 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.2 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.16 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Quail Meadow Village, Frisco, TX

Updated: 3:38 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.7 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Hidden Valley Airpark, Shady Shores, TX

Updated: 3:37 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.0 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Legacy Drive, Frisco, TX

Updated: 3:38 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.2 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Roberts Drive, The Colony, TX

Updated: 3:39 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.9 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.16 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Toyota Stadium, Frisco, TX

Updated: 3:29 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.9 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: ESE at 8.0 mph Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Nipe Ranch, Krugerville, TX

Updated: 3:41 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.5 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: ESE at 6.0 mph Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Skyview Drive, Corinth, TX

Updated: 3:38 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.0 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Corinth, Corinth, TX

Updated: 3:43 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.1 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Frisco Eubanks C1010, Frisco, TX

Updated: 3:40 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.5 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Frisco Original Donation, Frisco, TX

Updated: 3:39 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.9 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.30 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Meadow Hill Estates, Frisco, TX

Updated: 3:37 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.1 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: ESE at 9.0 mph Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Meadow Hill Estates Greenvalley, Frisco, TX

Updated: 3:43 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.3 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.75 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: North Colony/Morning Star, The Colony, TX

Updated: 3:34 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.4 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: SE at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Ridgepointe, The Colony, TX

Updated: 3:43 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.1 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Lakeslide Estates, Lewisville, TX

Updated: 3:43 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.3 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Hidden Oaks, Aubrey, TX

Updated: 3:32 AM CDT

Temperature: 67.7 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas 
337 am CDT Sat may 23 2015 


Discussion... 
dewpoints are creeping up across North Texas early this morning as 
a warm front move slowly north across the area. The boundary 
stretches roughly along or just north of the I-20 corridor and is 
expected to reach the Red River by midday. This is all in response 
to a strengthening Lee rockies surface cyclone...which itself has 
developed in response to a deep upper low over the 4-corners 
region. Water vapor imagery indicates a potent shortwave now 
rotating around the upper low across the Desert Southwest. 


Strong forcing from this shortwave has already begun to generate 
convection across eastern New Mexico and parts of southwest Texas. 
Showers and thunderstorms will likely spread east across west- 
central Texas this morning and begin to affect western counties of 
North Texas by midday. By that time...precipitable waters  will have jumped to 
just shy of two inches. Instability will be marginal today...but 
good lift associated with the initial shortwave combined with 
impressive moisture profiles should lead to scattered convection 
/containing many efficient rain-producing cells/ this afternoon. 
The Flash Flood Watch will begin area-wide today...though the best 
potential for convection will likely begin in the northwest where 
the strongest forcing resides. Cape of 1000-1500 j/kg during peak 
heating will result in a few severe storms with large hail and 
damaging winds. 


The upper low will remain nearly stationary this evening as a 
second shortwave moves east across Mexico into West Texas. This 
should generate another round of convection during the evening and 
overnight hours on top of areas which are already saturated...and 
will likely have received convection by this afternoon. Some 
high-res guidance suggests thunderstorms organizing into a line 
and progressing slowly east across the region overnight tonight. 
The slow eastward progression implies that thunderstorm cells will 
have the opportunity to train over saturated areas for prolonged 
periods of time...further supporting heavy rain potential and 
continued opportunities for flash flooding. Precipitation will 
eventually shift east of the region during the day Sunday as the 
upper low shifts northeast into the northern plains and the 
shortwave heads for the Ohio Valley. 


Whatever break we receive will be short lived...because another 
round of convection will transpire on Monday as another shortwave 
/which appears to currently reside in the Pacific northwest/ swings 
east across the Southern Plains. Higher levels of shear and 
instability will lead to a better chance of severe thunderstorms 
with this system. The system will move relatively fast...but 
localized heavy rain will still create additional flooding 
concerns for Memorial Day. Storms will likely organize upscale 
into a squall line and push east of the region Monday night or 
early Tuesday. 


Shortwave ridging should bring quieter weather to the area Tuesday 
and Wednesday...though we will continue to keep low probability of precipitation in place 
for widely scattered diurnal convection. This type of activity is 
usually disorganized and driven by daytime heating...but tends to 
be fairly easy to come by during a wet weather pattern. Showers 
and thunderstorms will become more numerous Thursday and Friday as 
yet another upper trough approaches the plains. 


30 


&& 


Aviation... 




For the 06z tafs...no significant changes made from the 00z 
tafs. 


Watching the position of the warm front will be critical during 
the early morning hours. IFR ceilings are likely to remain closely 
tied to the warm front...so if it lifts north faster or remains in 
place longer than expected...the duration of IFR ceilings will be 
affected appropriately. Removed IFR ceilings from kact as the warm 
front is north of the Airport at this time...any IFR ceilings are 
expected to be temporary as a result. 


Widespread precipitation is still expected to build over the 
region from west to east beginning tomorrow late afternoon. 


Cavanaugh 


../previous aviation discussion/... 
/issued 727 PM CDT Friday may 22 2015/ 


For the 00z tafs...timing the onset of low MVFR and IFR stratus 
returning to the region and then rain shower and thunderstorm 
chances over the next 24-36 hours are the primary forecast 
challenges. 


23z surface analysis indicated low-level moisture returning 
rapidly to the region from the Texas Gulf Coast northwest over 
west central Texas. This deep moisture return will result in cloud 
heights lowering from the 2 to 3 thousand foot range to 
approximately 800 feet above ground level tonight. These clouds are expected to 
move over area airports from the west or southwest to the east. 
Have low MVFR ceilings building in after 04z...then IFR ceilings 4 hours 
later. Will monitor upstream trends and amend the tafs if this 
timing looks like it will change. IFR ceilings are likely to hold 
until the late morning hours of Saturday. 


After noon on Saturday...large scale lift begins to increase over 
Texas from west to east...resulting in an increase in rain chances 
from Saturday afternoon through Saturday night. Scattered rain 
showers are possibly anytime on Saturday...with thunderstorms 
becoming more likely late Saturday afternoon. Widespread rain 
shower activity with embedded thunderstorms is likely at all area 
airports Saturday night. Did not place thunder in the forecast at 
this time because it looks like we will have many hours of 
precipitation with embedded thunderstorms possible. 


Did not want to advertise 10 to 12 hours of thunderstorms at this 
time...although this is a rare situation where this is actually 
possible. Any rain shower or thunderstorm activity Saturday night 
is expected to result in heavy rainfall and likely IFR 
visibilities. Went ahead with a mention of heavy rain in at the 
end of the dfw taf. Best window for widespread heavy rainfall at 
area taf sites appears to be just before midnight to 15z Sunday at 
this time. 


A widespread heavy rainfall event is likely across the region this 
weekend...so the tafs will likely be busy and amended frequently 
as we move into Saturday afternoon and evening. 


Cavanaugh 




&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 79 68 77 69 83 / 50 80 70 40 40 
Waco, Texas 81 70 79 69 82 / 50 70 60 40 50 
Paris, Texas 80 69 75 67 79 / 40 60 80 60 50 
Denton, Texas 78 68 76 66 82 / 60 80 70 40 40 
McKinney, Texas 80 68 76 67 81 / 50 80 70 50 40 
Dallas, Texas 80 69 78 69 83 / 50 80 70 40 50 
Terrell, Texas 81 70 77 68 82 / 40 70 80 40 50 
Corsicana, Texas 81 70 77 69 82 / 40 60 70 40 60 
Temple, Texas 81 68 80 69 81 / 40 70 60 30 50 
Mineral Wells, Texas 77 67 79 67 82 / 60 90 60 30 40 


&& 


Forward watches/warnings/advisories... 
Flash Flood Watch from 1 PM CDT this afternoon through Sunday 
evening for txz091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162- 
174-175. 




&& 


$$ 



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