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Next 12 Hours

Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

• Wednesday
• 
• High: 90 °
• Low: 66 °
• Partly Cloudy

• Thursday
• 
• High: 90 °
• Low: 73 °
• Partly Cloudy

• Friday
• 
• High: 86 °
• Low: 73 °
• Mostly Cloudy

• Saturday
• 
• High: 90 °
• Low: 72 °
• Mostly Cloudy

• Sunday
• 
• High: 91 °
• Low: 70 °
• Partly Cloudy

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas 
1214 PM CDT Wednesday may 22 2013 


Aviation... 
low clouds and fog have mixed out across North Texas this 
morning. VFR conditions will prevail this afternoon and this 
evening with only few to scattered high clouds. 


There is a chance of some brief MVFR to IFR ceilings/visibilities 
around sunrise Thursday due to light winds...damp ground and 
abundant low level moisture. The low clouds and fog should not be 
as extensive as this morning and stay confined to the southern 
zones. Therefore...will mention 3 miles and 1000 feet ceilings in 
Waco from 10z through 15z. 


A southeast wind will prevail between 6 and 11 knots. Wind speeds 
should increase above 12 knots after 18z Thursday. 


79 


&& 


Update... 
the fog has burned off across the County Warning Area. We are expecting mostly 
clear skies across the County Warning Area with some afternoon cumulus possible in the 
east. 


As for rain chances Thursday night through Friday night...most of 
the available moisture will be at or above 500 mb and the best 
lift stays off to the northwest. Can/T rule out elevated 
convection reaching our County Warning Area at this time and will evaluate this 
morning/S model runs for more insight. Otherwise...we should be dry 
through Thursday and then over the Memorial Day weekend through 
middle next week. Surface winds will increase the first of next week as 
the Lee side trough strengthens and high pressure remains off to 
our east. 75 


&& 


Previous discussion... /issued 302 am CDT Wednesday may 22 2013/ 
skies have cleared over most of the area and now fog is forming 
along and east of I-35. A few areas will see dense fog...and it 
should burn off by middle morning. As the storm system moves 
east...a weak upper ridge will push into Texas Thursday morning 
located from The Big Bend north into the Dakotas. The ridge slides 
east over our area by Friday morning...and aided by an upper 
disturbance convection forming along the dry line Thursday 
afternoon should advect east into the area. I have kept low probability of precipitation 
for the northwest Thursday night and across the northern half of 
North Texas Friday into Friday night. A lot of the convective 
extent depends on just how strong of a short wave will actually 
support the event. 


Southwest flow aloft returns Saturday through much of next 
week...and although the GFS develops spotty precipitation most 
days...the probability of precipitation are quite low and the European model (ecmwf) seems drier. Have gone 
with the drier solution...although if later runs become wetter 
probability of precipitation will have to increase. 


Temperatures will be near normal for this time of year...with the 
flow turning back to the south Thursday and humidity increasing as 
well. After the last week/S events...all in all a fairly Boring 
forecast. 84 






&& 




Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 85 64 89 70 85 / 10 10 10 10 10 
Waco, Texas 87 67 90 71 88 / 10 10 10 10 10 
Paris, Texas 82 63 85 69 81 / 10 10 10 10 20 
Denton, Texas 84 64 87 70 84 / 5 10 10 10 20 
McKinney, Texas 85 64 88 71 85 / 10 10 10 10 20 
Dallas, Texas 88 65 91 71 88 / 10 10 10 10 10 
Terrell, Texas 86 66 90 72 86 / 10 10 10 10 20 
Corsicana, Texas 86 67 91 71 88 / 10 10 10 10 10 
Temple, Texas 86 68 90 71 88 / 10 10 10 10 10 
Mineral Wells, Texas 87 65 91 70 87 / 5 10 10 20 10 


&& 


Forward watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 


79/75