Garland, Texas Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 74°
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Wind: ESE 6 mph
  • Humidity: 92%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 72°
  • Pressure: 30.06 in. -

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Next 12 Hours

1  pm
4  pm
7  pm
10  pm
1  am
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
86°
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79°
79°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Wednesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 95 °
  • Low: 73 °
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • Thursday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 84 °
  • Low: 66 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Friday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 81 °
  • Low: 66 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Saturday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 90 °
  • Low: 68 °
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 93 °
  • Low: 68 °
  • Partly Cloudy

Forecast for Garland, Texas

Updated: 10:00 AM CDT on July 30, 2014

  • Wednesday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 95F. Winds from the SSE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. Low of 73F. Winds from the SE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Thursday

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 84F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 20 mph shifting to the West in the afternoon. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Thursday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Low of 66F. Winds from the North at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 81F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Overcast. Low of 66F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Overcast in the morning, then mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. Fog early. High of 90F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 68F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 93F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 68F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 95F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 68F. Winds from the East at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 99F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 72F. Winds from the ESE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 93F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 73F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy. High of 93F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 72F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 60% with rainfall amounts near 0.6 in. possible.

  • Friday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 91F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 72F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Saturday

    Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 91F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 72F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Public Information Statement  Statement as of 9:03 am CDT on July 30, 2014



... 24 rainfall reports...

Location amount time/date

... Texas...

... Bell...
Fort Hood AFB 0.23 in 0656 am 07/30

... Bosque...
6 NNE Morgan 0.13 in 0800 am 07/30

... Collin...
4 N Plano 0.32 in 0844 am 07/30
4 E Frisco 0.24 in 0848 am 07/30
3 SW McKinney 0.21 in 0847 am 07/30
3 N Plano 0.18 in 0855 am 07/30
Prosper 0.17 in 0815 am 07/30
2 WSW Allen 0.17 in 0848 am 07/30
1 NW Allen 0.17 in 0856 am 07/30
2 WSW Allen 0.16 in 0841 am 07/30
3 WSW Allen 0.15 in 0855 am 07/30
1 NW Plano 0.15 in 0850 am 07/30
3 SW Parker 0.14 in 0842 am 07/30
3 WNW Plano 0.14 in 0847 am 07/30
1 SSW McKinney 0.13 in 0854 am 07/30
1 NE Parker 0.13 in 0838 am 07/30
3 ENE Prosper 0.13 in 0852 am 07/30
3 WSW Parker 0.12 in 0855 am 07/30
2 WSW Plano 0.11 in 0854 am 07/30
1 E Allen 0.10 in 0848 am 07/30

... Cooke...
1 N Gainesville 0.38 in 0800 am 07/30
Elm Fork Trinity River 0.35 in 0815 am 07/30
Muenster 0.31 in 0815 am 07/30
Valley View 0.11 in 0815 am 07/30

... Coryell...
3 NNW Copperas Cove 1.35 in 0853 am 07/30

... Dallas...
1 E Coppell 0.12 in 0854 am 07/30
3 ESE Farmers Branch 0.10 in 0855 am 07/30

... Denton...
1 ENE Denton 0.26 in 0855 am 07/30
2 W Roanoke 0.21 in 0800 am 07/30
1 E Lewisville 0.20 in 0830 am 07/30
3 S Denton 0.19 in 0852 am 07/30
2 E Trophy Club 0.18 in 0847 am 07/30
1 WNW Marshall Creek 0.17 in 0853 am 07/30
2 ENE Hackberry 0.16 in 0804 am 07/30
2 E Hackberry 0.15 in 0845 am 07/30
Krum 0.15 in 0850 am 07/30
1 SSE Flower Mound 0.14 in 0815 am 07/30
2 NE Lewisville 0.13 in 0845 am 07/30
Denton creek 0.12 in 0800 am 07/30
2 se Denton 0.11 in 0800 am 07/30
2 NE Flower Mound 0.11 in 0847 am 07/30
2 ESE Double Oak 0.11 in 0853 am 07/30
1 NW Shady Shores 0.11 in 0846 am 07/30
Highland Village 0.10 in 0851 am 07/30

... Grayson...
1 ENE Collinsville 0.54 in 0852 am 07/30
Collinsville 0.36 in 0831 am 07/30
1 ESE Denison 0.21 in 0853 am 07/30
Ranger creek near collinsvile 0.21 in 0815 am 07/30
2 SSW Cartwright 0.13 in 0800 am 07/30
3 WNW Van Alstyne 0.12 in 0854 am 07/30

... Hood...
Granbury 0.20 in 0800 am 07/30
2 WNW Granbury 0.12 in 0803 am 07/30

... Jack...
Jacksboro 0.24 in 0833 am 07/30
wf Trinity r nr Jacksboro 0.14 in 0800 am 07/30
site 3 0.14 in 0800 am 07/30

... Johnson...
Cresson 0.28 in 0700 am 07/30
1 WNW Burleson 0.16 in 0700 am 07/30

... Lampasas...
2 WNW Lometa 1.82 in 0825 am 07/30
6 SW Lometa 1.70 in 0825 am 07/30
Lampasas Airport 1.04 in 0655 am 07/30
9 SSE Lometa 0.55 in 0810 am 07/30
Lampasas 15wnw 0.44 in 0800 am 07/30
1 WSW Lampasas 0.34 in 0700 am 07/30

... Milam...
3 SSE Thorndale 0.36 in 0827 am 07/30

... Montague...
Nocona 7ne 0.61 in 0800 am 07/30
Nocona 0.52 in 0853 am 07/30
6 SSW Nocona 0.46 in 0854 am 07/30
8 SSE Nocona 0.35 in 0850 am 07/30
2 SW Montague 0.33 in 0815 am 07/30
Bowie 0.33 in 0655 am 07/30

... Navarro...
4 NNE Dawson 0.13 in 0800 am 07/30

... Parker...
4 W Weatherford 0.70 in 0815 am 07/30
Weatherford 0.60 in 0700 am 07/30
Brazos river at Dennis 0.28 in 0830 am 07/30
4 S Springtown 0.17 in 0800 am 07/30
Sanctuary 0.17 in 0820 am 07/30
Mineral Wells Airport 0.15 in 0653 am 07/30
1 se Willow Park 0.15 in 0853 am 07/30
2 NE Springtown 0.15 in 0845 am 07/30
clear fk Trinity River near we 0.13 in 0815 am 07/30
2 NE Springtown 0.13 in 0846 am 07/30
3 SW Azle 0.10 in 0850 am 07/30

... Somervell...
brazo r nr Glen Rose 0.52 in 0800 am 07/30

... Tarrant...
3 E Newark 0.27 in 0853 am 07/30
2 N north Richland hil 0.26 in 0851 am 07/30
1 NE Watauga 0.25 in 0828 am 07/30
Keller 0.23 in 0700 am 07/30
4 NW Watauga 0.23 in 0842 am 07/30
2 SW Westlake 0.22 in 0851 am 07/30
2 S Haslet 0.21 in 0700 am 07/30
2 W Southlake 0.18 in 0815 am 07/30
1 E Colleyville 0.16 in 0844 am 07/30
3 WSW White Settlement 0.12 in 0850 am 07/30
1 NNW Rendon 0.11 in 0853 am 07/30
1 W Hurst 0.10 in 0800 am 07/30
Richland Hills 0.10 in 0600 am 07/30
1 NNW Eagle Mountain 0.10 in 0730 am 07/30

... Wise...
Bridgeport 0.23 in 0700 am 07/30
West Fork Trinity r 0.18 in 0815 am 07/30
8 se Runaway Bay 0.17 in 0700 am 07/30
3 NW Boyd 0.15 in 0700 am 07/30
Big Sandy Creek 0.13 in 0815 am 07/30
Decatur 0.11 in 0700 am 07/30
Decatur Municipal Airport 0.11 in 0655 am 07/30


Observations are collected from a variety of sources with varying
equipment and exposure. Not all data listed are considered official.



Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Shorehaven, Garland, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 77.2 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: SSE at 2.3 mph Pressure: 29.38 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: Naaman, Garland, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 75.7 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: SE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Rowlett - Springfield Lakes, Rowlett, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 76.3 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Ridgewood Estates, Garland, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 77.1 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: SSW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: W7DAV-WX, Rowlett, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 77.0 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: SE at 1.3 mph Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Ravens Nest Subdivision, Rowlett, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 75.7 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Westshore Estates, Garland, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 75.3 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: ESE at 5.0 mph Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Oakridge, Garland, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 76.1 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Firewheel, Garland, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 75.5 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: ESE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Western Heights, Garland, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 78.5 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: NW at 1.7 mph Pressure: 29.66 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Apollo Arapaho, Garland, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 75.9 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Oliver, Rowlett, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 75.4 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: ESE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Heritage Park, Sachse, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 76.2 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Mariner Park, Rowlett, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 77.0 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 19% Wind: SE at 3.8 mph Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Sachse On The Creek, Sachse, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 76.0 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: SE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Pleasent Valley, Sachse, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 75.7 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: ESE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Quail Hollow Estates, Sachse, TX

Updated: 11:58 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.1 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 85% Wind: SSE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Breckinridge Park East Side, Richardson, TX

Updated: 12:03 PM CDT

Temperature: 76.0 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: East at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Woodbridge, Sachse, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 75.8 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: SE at 4.6 mph Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Duck Creek, Richardson, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 77.5 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: Saddlebrook, Richardson, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 73.8 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Steven and Donna Weather Station, Richardson, TX

Updated: 12:09 PM CDT

Temperature: 76.0 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: SE at 5.4 mph Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Spinnaker Pointe, Rowlett, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 76.3 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: ESE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: WoodBridge East - Wylie, TX, Wylie, TX

Updated: 11:59 AM CDT

Temperature: 75.5 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: SE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: W5FGC North Mesquite, Mesquite, TX

Updated: 12:09 PM CDT

Temperature: 73.3 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Boo's Weather Page - North Mesquite, Mesquite, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 78.1 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.47 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Lakeshore Park Estates, Rowlett, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 76.3 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: ESE at 4.9 mph Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: McCreary Estates, Wylie, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 75.6 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: ESE at 4.1 mph Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Mesquite Weather, Mesquite, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 75.6 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: SE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Maxwell Creek North, Murphy, TX

Updated: 11:59 AM CDT

Temperature: 76.7 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: NW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Lake Highlands, Dallas, TX

Updated: 12:10 PM CDT

Temperature: 76.8 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: White Rock Valley / Lake Highlands, Dallas, TX

Updated: 12:07 PM CDT

Temperature: 75.4 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas 
726 am CDT Wednesday Jul 30 2014 


Update... 
updated the probability of precipitation for today to account for current radar trends. 
Additionally...updated quantitative precipitation forecast for tomorrow to account for the 
continued model guidance hinting at a heavy rainfall event for our 
northeast counties. A Flash Flood Watch may be warranted for areas 
northeast of the dfw metropolitan for late tonight through Thursday if 
model guidance continues this trend. 


Ajs 






&& 


Aviation... 
/issued 659 am CDT Wednesday Jul 30 2014/ 


For the 12z tafs...VFR conditions are expected through the valid 
forecast period...however flight operations are likely to be 
affected by scattered rain showers over much of the next 24 to 30 
hours. 


A band of rain showers was moving directly at dfw Airport at the 
time of this discussion. Despite the busy radar returns across the 
region and headed over the metroplex...there have been no cloud to 
ground or in cloud lightning strikes recorded across North Texas 
so far this morning. As a result...went ahead and started off all 
the metroplex area tafs with vcsh as opposed to thunderstorms in the vicinity as this trend 
is expected to continue throughout the morning hours of the day. 


Left vcsh in the tafs for several hours because the lift aloft is 
expected to move slowly east over the area today. With a very 
moist air mass already in place...and persistent lift 
expected...could not find a good window to indicate a break in the 
showers for the tafs this morning. There probably will be breaks 
in the scattered rain shower activity...but it is difficult to 
time those right now. 


We should see precipitation diminish from west to east this 
afternoon as models indicate some warm and slightly drier air 
moving over the dfw area. Assuming this dry air leaves some cloud 
cover in place...this dry air should cap off the atmosphere for 
additional rainfall through this evening. If clouds clear out...we 
could heat up rapidly...break the cap and get isolated to 
scattered thunderstorms to develop near dfw area airports. This is 
not expected to happen at this time as upper level clouds should 
remain thick over the area. 


By tonight the next round of precipitation is expected to slide 
south of the Red River. This should bring another round of showers 
to the dfw area just before midnight...hanging around through 
sunrise Thursday morning. Thunderstorms cannot be ruled 
out...however confidence in thunder was too low to bring into the 
forecast at this time. 


Around sunrise...a cold front is expected to push through the dfw 
area which may be accompanied by a line of thunderstorms. 
Confidence in the timing of this front is not great...models have 
it moving through anywhere from 10 to 16z...so just left thunderstorms in the vicinity at 
the end of the dfw taf after 12z at this time. Will have to adjust 
this timing as the timing of the front is better resolved. 


Cavanaugh 






&& 






Previous discussion... /issued 409 am CDT Wednesday Jul 30 2014/ 
regional radars showed numerous rain showers extending from the 
Texas Panhandle east-southeast along the Red River over to Wichita 
Falls. This cluster of precipitation was likely associated with deep 
warm...moist air advection over the area as evidenced by radar VAD 
wind profiles showing wind direction veering with height from 925 to 
700 mb in this area. This fairly deep warm air advection was likely 
associated with a retreating/reorganizing frontal boundary in 
response to a shortwave trough that was located along the 
Colorado/New Mexico border per 08z/3am water vapor satellite 
imagery. 


This zone of strong low to middle-level warm air advection and lift is 
expected to move slowly east along the Red River today. At least 
scattered rain showers are expected to persist within this zone of 
ascent as it moves east...and went ahead and left 30 to 40 probability of precipitation in 
near the Red River throughout the day today as a result. Some high 
resolution model guidance indicates that precipitation will extend 
as far south as Interstate 20 today...so maintained at least a 20 
pop down to just south of Interstate 20...including over most of the 
dfw area. Rainfall is generally expected to remain light...but 
periods of moderate to heavy rainfall will occur with any embedded 
thunderstorm activity. Models consistently advertise precipitable 
water values of 2 inches or slightly more within this zone of 
ascent...so any deep convection/storms will be capable of very 
efficient precipitation production. 


The primary reason for thinking that thunderstorm activity will not 
be more common along the Red River today is simply abundant cloud 
cover which is already in place. If there are any breaks in the 
clouds...thunderstorms will likely become more common...making 
locally heavy rainfall more likely. However...with fairly persistent 
lift in a very deep moist atmosphere...think that clouds will tend 
to hold in today north of Interstate 20. Temperatures will likely 
remain in the 80s again today for the dfw area. These unseasonably 
cool temperatures will likely be more expansive today as the zone of 
ascent and cloud cover is expected to be larger than yesterday. 
Central Texas will likely still climb into the lower 90s at least 
with more opportunities for sunshine with no organized lift expected 
over these areas over the next 24 hours. 


With the upper level ridge positioned over the Desert 
Southwest...North Texas will be under northwest flow aloft. As 
such...the organizing shortwave over the Colorado rockies is 
expected to slide southeast today and bring elevated rain chances 
to north and central Texas overnight Wednesday through much of the 
day Thursday. Based on mass fields...model guidance has been gradually 
shifting the focus of where the highest precipitation amounts 
should be...further south out of northern Oklahoma and into southern 
Oklahoma and North Texas...with the surface low prognosticated to reside 
over northeast Texas early Thursday morning. A complex of 
convection should develop and traverse south-southeast overnight tonight and 
affect the region. 


The precipitation gradient on Thursday is expected to be oriented 
with higher amounts in the northeast and minimal rainfall totals 
in the southwest. While most areas will only receive amounts in 
the quarter to a half an inch range...locally higher amounts are 
possible...especially for areas northeast of a Sherman to Canton 
line. Forecast precipitable water values are expected to exceed 2 
inches early Thursday morning for our northeast counties...which 
is well above 150% of normal. Additionally...warm cloud depths 
will be quite large...suggesting warm rain processes dominating 
the situation. In such scenarios...rainfall totals can quickly add 
up. 


Once the shortwave exits the area on Friday...skies should clear 
out and temperatures will gradually warm. However...with the 
persistence of northwest flow expected to last several days...temperatures 
will be slow to warm and should remain below the climatological 
norm through the weekend. The upper level ridge will gradually 
build eastward encompassing more of Texas early next week...and as a 
result...expect a warm and dry forecast through early next week 
once the aforementioned shortwave pushes southeast out of our area 
on Friday. 


Ajs/Cavanaugh 






&& 




Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 87 73 85 70 87 / 40 40 40 10 10 
Waco, Texas 90 74 89 70 89 / 20 20 30 20 10 
Paris, Texas 87 68 78 66 83 / 50 80 50 20 10 
Denton, Texas 87 71 83 67 87 / 40 50 50 10 10 
McKinney, Texas 87 71 82 66 85 / 40 70 50 10 10 
Dallas, Texas 87 74 85 71 87 / 40 40 40 10 10 
Terrell, Texas 89 72 83 68 86 / 40 50 50 20 10 
Corsicana, Texas 89 73 87 69 87 / 30 30 30 20 10 
Temple, Texas 92 72 90 70 90 / 20 10 40 20 10 
Mineral Wells, Texas 88 69 84 67 86 / 40 30 30 10 10 


&& 


Forward watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 


/ 



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