Flower Mound, Texas Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 50°
  • Scattered Clouds
  • Wind: NNE 10 mph
  • Humidity: 44%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 29°
  • Pressure: 30.36 in. +

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Next 12 Hours

1  am
4  am
7  am
10  am
1  pm
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
46°
41°
39°
45°
59°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 66 °
  • Low: 43 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 68 °
  • Low: 59 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 73 °
  • Low: 63 °
  • Thunderstorm
  • Tuesday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 68 °
  • Low: 52 °
  • T-Storms
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 64 °
  • Low: 50 °
  • Chance of Rain

Forecast for Flower Mound, Texas

Updated: 10:00 PM CDT on October 31, 2014

Freeze warning in effect from 3 am to 9 am CDT Saturday...
  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 61F. Winds from the ESE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 43F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. High of 68F. Breezy. Winds from the SSE at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 59F. Winds from the SSE at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Monday

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 73F. Breezy. Winds from the SSE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Monday Night

    Overcast with thunderstorms and a chance of rain, then a chance of a thunderstorm and rain after midnight. Low of 63F. Winds from the SSE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain, then thunderstorms in the afternoon. High of 68F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 80% with rainfall amounts near 1.6 in. possible.

  • Tuesday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Low of 52F. Breezy. Winds from the North at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.6 in. possible.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 64F. Breezy. Winds from the North at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Low of 50F. Winds from the NNW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy. High of 70F. Breezy. Winds from the North at 15 to 25 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 46F. Winds from the North at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 72F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 46F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 70F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 50F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 70F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 72F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 73F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Freeze Warning  Statement as of 8:30 PM CDT on October 31, 2014


... Freeze warning remains in effect from 3 am to 9 am CDT
Saturday...

* location... areas along and north of a line from Graham to
Sulphur Springs

* temperature... several hours near or below 32 degrees

* impacts... tender plants that are unprotected may be killed

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A freeze warning means that the seasons first episode of sub-
freezing temperatures are likely to occur. These conditions will
kill sensitive plants and residents are advised to protect tender
vegetation.





Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Lost Creek Estates, Flower Mound, TX

Updated: 12:51 AM CDT

Temperature: 46.0 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 58% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.34 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Peninsula at Twin Coves, Flower Mound, TX

Updated: 12:50 AM CDT

Temperature: 49.1 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.13 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: W5CGC / KE7A, Southlake, TX

Updated: 12:39 AM CDT

Temperature: 48.4 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 63% Wind: North at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.36 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Chimney Rock, Flower Mound, TX

Updated: 12:51 AM CDT

Temperature: 44.4 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: ENE at 1.6 mph Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 44 °F Graphs

Location: 114th RC Aero Squadron, Southlake, TX

Updated: 12:51 AM CDT

Temperature: 49.6 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: ENE at 9.0 mph Pressure: 30.38 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Loch Meadow Estates, Southlake, TX

Updated: 12:51 AM CDT

Temperature: 48.6 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.40 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Quail Run, Flower Mound, TX

Updated: 12:49 AM CDT

Temperature: 46.9 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: NE at 1.1 mph Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

Location: Kirkwood Hollow, Southlake, TX

Updated: 12:51 AM CDT

Temperature: 48.6 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: NNE at 2.5 mph Pressure: 30.32 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Liberty Park, Southlake, TX

Updated: 12:51 AM CDT

Temperature: 48.8 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: NNE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.36 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Churchill Crossing, Flower Mound, TX

Updated: 12:51 AM CDT

Temperature: 48.4 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 56% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.37 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Villages of Northshore, Flower Mound, TX

Updated: 12:43 AM CDT

Temperature: 48.0 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 56% Wind: East at 2.7 mph Pressure: 30.33 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Creekwood Estates (Just SE of 2499 & 1171), Flower Mound, TX

Updated: 12:50 AM CDT

Temperature: 50.9 °F Dew Point: 35 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.28 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Westchester, Flower Mound, TX

Updated: 12:51 AM CDT

Temperature: 48.6 °F Dew Point: 35 °F Humidity: 59% Wind: NE at 11.4 mph Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 44 °F Graphs

Location: Wildwood Estates, Flower Mound, TX

Updated: 12:50 AM CDT

Temperature: 48.1 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 57% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.33 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Trophy Club, TX, Roanoke, TX

Updated: 12:45 AM CDT

Temperature: 45.5 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.35 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Double Oak Fire Dept, Double Oak, TX

Updated: 12:39 AM CDT

Temperature: 47.1 °F Dew Point: 29 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

Location: Lake Forest Estates, Flower Mound, TX

Updated: 12:36 AM CDT

Temperature: 50.7 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.45 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Lake Forest, Flower Mound, TX

Updated: 12:45 AM CDT

Temperature: 48.9 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: NE at 1.7 mph Pressure: 30.31 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Canyon Oaks, Argyle, TX

Updated: 12:51 AM CDT

Temperature: 43.9 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.39 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 44 °F Graphs

Location: Grapevine Fairway C70, Grapevine, TX

Updated: 12:50 AM CDT

Temperature: 52.2 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: 44% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.71 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Timberview Estates West, Flower Mound, TX

Updated: 12:36 AM CDT

Temperature: 48.3 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: NE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.41 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Stone Creek, Flower Mound, TX

Updated: 12:44 AM CDT

Temperature: 48.4 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: ENE at 7.4 mph Pressure: 30.17 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: Woodview at Morriss, Flower Mound, TX

Updated: 12:51 AM CDT

Temperature: 48.2 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: NE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.32 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Woodlake Apartments, Grapevine, TX

Updated: 12:45 AM CDT

Temperature: 49.5 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 50 °F Graphs

Location: MesoWest ARGYLE TX US UPR, Trophy Club, TX

Updated: 10:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 47 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

Location: Oakwood Estates, Flower Mound, TX

Updated: 12:51 AM CDT

Temperature: 49.3 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: NE at 1.1 mph Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Chris Craft Drive, Grapevine, TX

Updated: 12:50 AM CDT

Temperature: 55.8 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.44 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Roanoke, TX

Updated: 12:51 AM CDT

Temperature: 47.4 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 58% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.39 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

Location: Timber Creek, Flower Mound, TX

Updated: 12:51 AM CDT

Temperature: 47.7 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 58% Wind: NW at 7.6 mph Pressure: 30.58 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 44 °F Graphs

Location: Briarwyck, Roanoke, TX

Updated: 12:50 AM CDT

Temperature: 46.3 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 59% Wind: NE at 6.0 mph Pressure: 30.35 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 43 °F Graphs

Location: Corporate at Cindy Ln., Lewisville, TX

Updated: 12:46 AM CDT

Temperature: 48.6 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: NNW at 4.2 mph Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

Location: Roanoke, TX

Updated: 12:47 AM CDT

Temperature: 46.3 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 59% Wind: NNE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.39 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: Lewisville, Lewisville, TX

Updated: 12:39 AM CDT

Temperature: 48.7 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: ENE at 7.8 mph Pressure: 30.33 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: Clarendon Drive, Lewisville, TX

Updated: 12:51 AM CDT

Temperature: 50.4 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.45 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Copper Canyon, Copper Canyon, TX

Updated: 12:51 AM CDT

Temperature: 45.3 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 57% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.40 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: HV 2, Highland Village, TX

Updated: 12:51 AM CDT

Temperature: 47.5 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.29 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: FM3040 at Old Orchard, Lewisville, TX

Updated: 12:51 AM CDT

Temperature: 48.7 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: NE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.36 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Indian Oaks, Lewisville, TX

Updated: 12:51 AM CDT

Temperature: 48.7 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 51% Wind: North at 4.3 mph Pressure: 30.34 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion


afdfwd 


Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas 
1142 PM CDT Friday Oct 31 2014 


Aviation... 
VFR conditions will prevail at the taf sites through the forecast 
period. Northeast winds 5 to 7 knots at 0430z will become 
southeast by 15z Saturday as high pressure moves off to the east. 
Expect only some scattered high clouds through 00z Sunday with 
increasing high clouds thereafter. 


58 


&& 


Update... 
we/ve added areas of frost across the central and northern County Warning Area and 
patchy frost over the southern counties for late tonight through 
about 9 am on Saturday. Once temperatures fall below 38 degrees later tonight 
and winds diminish to less than 5 miles per hour...strong radiational 
cooling will commence. If skies remain clear before 
daybreak...then exposed surfaces should be able to collect frost. 
Where rain fell on Thursday...the frost could be heavier. 


The rest of the forecast for the weekend looks very pleasant with 
temperatures turning warmer on Sunday. Next weeks storm system looks very 
promising as a cold front moves through the County Warning Area and a strong 
positive tilted upper trough...possibly a closed upper low per the 
European model (ecmwf)...tracks across the state. The rain will move into the 
northwest counties Monday night and spread across the County Warning Area through 
Tuesday night. This system has the potential to dump 1-3 inches 
across the County Warning Area before ending and should help improve some lake and 
reservoirs levels. 75 


&& 


Previous discussion... /issued 303 PM CDT Friday Oct 31 2014/ 


... Conditions through the weekend then a good chance 
for widespread beneficial rain beginning early next week... 


Short term...upper level ridging is solidly in place over the 
central and Southern Plains leading to quiet weather over the 
central third of the country. This ridging is expected to stay in 
place through Saturday and most of Sunday before an upper level 
trough approaches from the west. The only real weather of 
potential impact this weekend will be the cooler temperatures 
tonight and into Saturday morning. This evening will be jacket 
weather with temperatures in the 50s area wide by 9pm and temperatures 
continuing to plummet overnight with lows Saturday morning in the 
low to middle 30s for everywhere except extreme southern portions of 
the County Warning Area. A freeze warning remains in place for our 
northern counties for tonight as temperatures will drop below freezing 
overnight. For the metroplex and areas south temperatures will be in the 
middle 30s by sunrise Saturday. Conditions will be very dry tonight 
and in taking a look at forecast soundings the lowest 100mb there 
is a good 5-15 degree spread between temperature and dew point so 
there does not appear to be enough moisture for frost to form. 
However some very patchy frost could be possible in low lying 
areas and river valleys where moisture could pool up. 


Medium range...an upper level low is currently located off the 
Pacific northwest coast. Models are in fairly good agreement that 
by late Sunday this upper low will split off into two pieces of 
energy...a deep upper level trough will dig southward into The 
Four Corners...while another upper level trough shoots northward 
into the northern plains. The northern trough will spawn surface 
cyclogenesis over the Dakotas and southern Canada by Monday with a 
trailing surface front draped over the central and Southern 
Plains. The southern trough will become elongated and positively 
tilted. This will allow for moisture to be tapped from the 
aforementioned surface front over the plains and also tap into 
moisture to the southwest associated with current Tropical Storm 
Vance which will be approaching northern Mexico by early next 
week. In addition Gulf moisture will be flowing into North Texas 
out ahead of the surface cold front and on the back side of a 
surface high over the southeast U.S. Lending further evidence to 
the moist air mass that is expected is the fact that the GFS is 
showing precipitable waters  in the 1.5 to 1.75 inch range for Tuesday. This is 
about 2 Standard deviations higher than the normal precipitable waters  we see 
for this time of year. If you add all of this up this is leading 
US to a very favorable set up for moderate to heavy rainfall over 
North Texas for early next week. 


Timing and impacts of the rain next week...rain chances are 
introduced into the forecast beginning on Monday with 20 to 30 
probability of precipitation Monday morning for central and western portions of the County Warning Area 
increasing to 40 to 60 probability of precipitation by late Monday. The most likely timing 
for moderate to heavy rain area wide is Tuesday where we have 60 
to 80 probability of precipitation across most of the County Warning Area. This is a very high pop for a 
day 5 event which reflects the high confidence that we have that 
we are going to get rain. The big challenge in the forecast comes 
after Tuesday where the models diverge. 12z operational has an 
upper level low closing off over East Texas by Thursday and then 
advancing eastward by Friday. This would give US continued rain 
chances on Wednesday with lingering rain chances on Thursday. The 
12z European model (ecmwf) has a much different solution as it closes off an upper 
level low and merges it with the remnants of Vance over northern 
Mexico near West Texas and southern New Mexico on Wednesday. The 
European model (ecmwf) then has this storm system taking a very slow trek eastward 
across Texas over a several day period finally clearing the Lone 
Star state by Saturday. This solution would result in several 
days of rain chances for much of Texas including the local area. 
Unfortunately the GFS ensembles are not much help as about half 
of them have the GFS operational solution and half have the European model (ecmwf) 
operational solution. 


Given that there is not much certainty in the solution beyond 
Tuesday the impacts are difficult to assess at this time. At the 
very least it does appear as though so beneficial drought relief 
will take place across North Texas. The naefs ensemble is showing 
a 4o to 60 percent chance that our area will see at least 1 inch 
of rain in the Monday to Thursday time frame. This is very 
promising to say the least. Potential flooding impacts are 
difficult to assess at this time but given the rich moisture that 
will be in place there will be the potential for some heavy rain 
and flooding to occur most likely in the Tuesday to Wednesday time 
frame. If the rain lingers into the middle to late week period as 
the European model (ecmwf) solution that could lead to more widespread flooding 
impacts...but also additional drought relief. 


Bottom line is that we have a good chance for area wide beneficial 
rains early next week and that we will continue to refine the 
forecast in the days to come to assess additional potential impacts. 


Hoeth 






&& 




Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 36 61 43 70 58 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Waco, Texas 35 65 41 73 59 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Paris, Texas 30 57 36 66 51 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Denton, Texas 31 61 41 69 57 / 0 0 0 0 0 
McKinney, Texas 32 60 39 69 55 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Dallas, Texas 36 61 43 70 58 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Terrell, Texas 34 61 39 69 55 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Corsicana, Texas 35 62 40 72 56 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Temple, Texas 37 64 41 73 59 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Mineral Wells, Texas 32 65 42 69 58 / 0 0 0 0 0 


&& 


Forward watches/warnings/advisories... 
freeze warning from 3 am to 9 am CDT Saturday for txz091>095- 
100>107. 




&& 


$$ 


58/75 



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