Farmers Branch, Texas Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 68°
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Wind: South 8 mph
  • Humidity: 88%
  • Visibility: 6.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 64°
  • Pressure: 29.91 in. 0

Nowcast

  • Now as of 9:16 am CDT on April 1, 2015

    Scattered showers will continue to move northeastward across portions of North Texas this morning...primarily north of Interstate 20. Isolated thunderstorms will also be possible...which may produce lightning and brief heavy rain. Elsewhere...temperatures will be in the upper 60s and low 70s under mostly cloudy skies.

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Next 12 Hours

9  am
12  pm
3  pm
6  pm
9  pm
Thunderstorm
T-storms
Overcast
Overcast
Overcast
Overcast
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
69°
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Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Wednesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 81 °
  • Low: 66 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Thursday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 86 °
  • Low: 68 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Friday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 73 °
  • Low: 47 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Saturday
  • Clear
  • High: 70 °
  • Low: 52 °
  • Clear
  • Sunday
  • Rain
  • High: 61 °
  • Low: 58 °
  • Rain

Forecast for Farmers Branch, Texas

Updated: 7:18 AM CDT on January 01, 2015

  • Wednesday

    Thunderstorms during the morning will give way to cloudy skies this afternoon. High 81F. Winds S at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Wednesday Night

    A few clouds. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. Low 66F. Winds S at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Thursday

    Cloudy skies early, then partly cloudy in the afternoon. A stray afternoon thunderstorm is possible. High 86F. Winds S at 15 to 25 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy skies. Gusty winds early. Chance of a shower or thunderstorm throughout the evening. Low 68F. Winds S at 20 to 30 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy skies, with gusty winds developing during the afternoon. High 73F. WSW winds shifting to N at 20 to 30 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low 47F. Winds N at 15 to 25 mph.

  • Saturday

    Sunny. High around 70F. Winds ENE at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy skies early followed by increasing clouds with showers developing later at night. Low 52F. Winds SE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Sunday

    Occasional rain. High 61F. Winds SE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 90%.

  • Sunday Night

    Overcast with rain showers at times. Low 58F. Winds SSE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Monday

    Scattered thunderstorms in the morning, then cloudy skies late. High 78F. Winds S at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy skies. Low 69F. Winds S at 15 to 25 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Scattered thunderstorms in the morning, then cloudy skies late. High 81F. Winds S at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy skies in the evening, then becoming cloudy overnight. Low 68F. Winds S at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Variable clouds with scattered thunderstorms. High 78F. Winds S at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Scattered thunderstorms during the evening becoming more widespread overnight. Low 64F. Winds S at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Thursday

    Isolated thunderstorms in the morning followed by a few showers in the afternoon. High 77F. Winds W at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Thursday Night

    Mostly clear skies. Low 57F. Winds NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday

    Mostly sunny skies. High around 75F. Winds NNE at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Mostly cloudy with some showers late. Low 58F. Winds NE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Saturday

    A shower or two possible early with partly cloudy skies in the afternoon. High 78F. Winds E at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Saturday Night

    A few clouds. Low 59F. Winds SE at 5 to 10 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: OakBrook Parkway, Farmers Branch, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.1 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: SSW at 3.7 mph Pressure: 29.64 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: West of Vivian Field, Farmers Branch, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.4 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: SSW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Mariner Sails - I35E, Dallas, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 70.9 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: SSE at 5.0 mph Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Dallas, TX

Updated: 9:19 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.3 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: South at 6.0 mph Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Graphs

Location: Las Colinas, Irving, TX

Updated: 8:22 AM CST

Temperature: 69.4 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Graphs

Location: Valley Ranch, Irving, TX

Updated: 9:21 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.7 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: North MacArthur Boulevard, Irving, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.8 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Gooding Drive, Dallas, TX

Updated: 9:21 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.1 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Via Del Norte, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 67.0 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.13 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Northwest Dallas, Dallas, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.7 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.76 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Southwest Carrollton, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 9:21 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.4 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.97 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: The Hockaday School, Dallas, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.8 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: SSE at 6.0 mph Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Valley Ranch, Irving, TX

Updated: 9:21 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.1 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Southeast, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.6 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 84% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Wellington Run, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.2 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Hackberry Creek, Irving, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.9 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: SE at 3.2 mph Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Nob Hill, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 7:49 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.5 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: ENE at 3.1 mph Pressure: 29.48 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Graphs

Location: Willowgate, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.3 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: SW at 2.5 mph Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Dallas North C63, Dallas, TX

Updated: 8:50 AM CDT

Temperature: 67.6 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Mallard Cove, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 9:21 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.4 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Graphs

Location: Parkview Place, Dallas, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.6 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 76% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Woodridge on Creekside, Coppell, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.5 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Villawood Lane, Coppell, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.6 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Bellbrook Drive, Dallas, TX

Updated: 9:21 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.4 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Forestway Drive, Dallas, TX

Updated: 9:21 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.1 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: North Dallas, Dallas, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.4 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Meadow Glen, Dallas, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.3 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Woodgate, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 9:11 AM CDT

Temperature: 67.6 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: SSE at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Doncaster Street, Irving, TX

Updated: 9:21 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.4 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.75 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Woodhaven, Irving, TX

Updated: 9:21 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.6 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Nichols Park, Irving, TX

Updated: 9:20 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.9 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: SSE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Rosemeade II, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 9:14 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.4 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: South at 4.2 mph Pressure: 29.74 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: East Bethel Road, Coppell, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.9 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.75 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Bluffview, Dallas, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.6 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Timbercreek Estates, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 9:10 AM CDT

Temperature: 67.5 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: SSW at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.76 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Toler Lane, Irving, Texas USA, Irving, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.5 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: South at 3.5 mph Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: NW Carrollton, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.6 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: SE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Via Fiuggi, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.5 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Prestonwood, Dallas, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.7 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: ESE at 6.6 mph Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: LTNA, Dallas, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 68.0 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: ESE at 1.1 mph Pressure: 29.22 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Far North Dallas, Dallas, TX

Updated: 9:22 AM CDT

Temperature: 69.1 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.95 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas 
630 am CDT Wednesday Apr 1 2015 


Aviation... 


Concerns...convection and MVFR ceilings. 


Line of thunderstorms and rain nearing western Fort Worth and moving northeast 22 
knots will continue to back-build on its southeast side and 
affect kftw/kafw and possibly kdfw/kgky/kdal 12-13z. This will be 
followed vcsh and -ra 13-16z. Expect MVFR ceilings to mainly affect 
kdal/kgky/kdfw and possibly kftw/kafw 13-16z. Additional thunderstorms and rain may 
affect the metroplex terminals this afternoon. Kact might see some 
activity this morning...but feel the afternoon is better. 


Morning MVFR ceilings over the metroplex will lift by midday with 
kact remaining bkn035 during the afternoon. Expecting VFR ceilings 
this evening followed by another surge of MVFR ceilings beginning 04z 
at kact and 05-06z over the metroplex. 


Winds will remain southerly with speeds generally 14-20 knots late 
this morning through the overnight hours. 75 


&& 


Previous discussion... /issued 344 am CDT Wednesday Apr 1 2015/ 


Early morning water vapor satellite imagery showed a compact 
shortwave trough over northern Mexico near the Texas border at 
Presidio. This trough was moving east-northeast towards central 
Texas...and is expected to maintain that track throughout the day 
today. Over the northern Texas Panhandle...there was another 
subtle trough moving east over Oklahoma. These two features are 
expected to provide some weak lift for showers and thunderstorms 
across the County Warning Area...primarily from early this afternoon through this 
evening. 00z upper air analysis showed a plume of relatively steep 
middle-level lapse rates over north and central Texas. An area of 
nearly dry-adiabatic lapse rates was observed over the Texas 
Panhandle northward across central Colorado and Wyoming. 


Today...the two shortwave troughs mentioned above will provide 
some weak lift over parts of the County Warning Area today...however the lift 
associated with these features is forecast to be fairly weak in 
most model guidance. The southern shortwave trough certainly 
appears to be better organized on water vapor satellite imagery 
this morning...so went ahead with higher probability of precipitation across the 
southeastern County Warning Area versus the northern County Warning Area expecting some stronger 
lift across eastern portions of central Texas this afternoon. 
Expect that the dryline will sharpen up and move east into west 
central Texas again this afternoon...however the dryline is 
expected to remain west of the County Warning Area. Even if storms develop along 
this feature...they may not make it into North Texas this 
afternoon or evening with some weak subsidence expected behind the 
shortwave troughs. 


With a plume of somewhat steep middle-level lapse rates still in 
place across the region...and ample low-level moisture to support 
thunderstorms if the cap can be overcome...any precipitation that 
falls across the area today will likely fall in the form of 
isolated to scattered thunderstorms. Although the best lift if 
expected to exist over the area east of I-35 and south of 
I-20...this area is also the most likely to remain under upper 
level cloud cover all day...limiting insolation and surface based 
potential instability. This should limit the severe thunderstorm 
potential across central Texas this afternoon. If storms 
develop...the middle-level lapse rates would likely still support 
storms capable of producing some hail and strong wind 
gusts...however the storm Mode would likely be unorganized... 
limiting the potential for higher impacts. 


Upper level cloud cover is more likely to clear out over the 
western/northwestern portions of the County Warning Area this afternoon...which 
should drive cape values up to around 1500 j/kg during the peak 
heating hours of the day. Deep layer shear is actually expected to 
be stronger today than yesterday...so if any storms were able to 
develop...they would have a better chance at becoming 
organized/severe. Large hail and damaging winds are still the 
primary expected hazards...but the overall threat of large hail 
and damaging winds would simply be greater for any storms that 
develop west of I-35 and north of I-20 this afternoon. The primary 
ingredient missing for severe thunderstorms over this area this 
afternoon is coherent/focused lift. This area should be 
experiencing weak subsidence aloft behind the shortwaves mentioned 
above. There is the dryline which could provide lift...but the 
dryline is expected to be well west of the County Warning Area this afternoon. As 
a result...only went with 20 probability of precipitation for these areas...and it is 
possible that storms will not be able to develop...depending on 
how strong the subsidence is behind the shortwaves. 


Thursday...nearly all model guidance indicates that the dryline 
will surge east towards the I-35 corridor Thursday afternoon. The 
consensus of guidance continues to advertise MLCAPE values of 
around 2500 j/kg right out ahead of the dryline...overlaid with 
45-50 kts of deep layer shear. The shear vectors and the flow 
aloft are oriented perpendicular to the dryline...so if any 
thunderstorms were able to develop along this boundary...the above 
mentioned parameters strongly suggest a discrete supercellular 
storm Mode. The main limiting factor for thunderstorm chances 
along this dryline Thursday afternoon is large scale lift/support. 
There is no guidance that indicates any significant lift will 
exist along the dryline...aside from the dryline circulation 
itself. Granted...there is no strong signal for subsidence 
either...but relying on the dryline circulation alone for 
thunderstorm initiation is difficult. 


A discussion regarding the dynamics associated with the dryline 
circulation follows...to continue on with just the normal 
discussion...skip the next 3 paragraphs... 


The problem with relying on drylines alone for lift and 
thunderstorm initiation is that the lift along a dryline in the 
afternoon typically works like a backwards front. With any strong 
front...the tight thermal gradient along the front forces a 
vertical circulation in an attempt to balance out the temperature 
gradient. That circulation results in lift on the warm side of the 
front...and sinking motion on the cool side. Lift in the 
atmosphere provides cooling...so lifting the warm air is the 
atmosphere's attempt to cool off the warm air. The opposite is 
true for sinking motion on the cool side of the front. While this 
is pretty straight forward in cold fronts...you get lift in the 
warm moist air ahead of the front...resulting in thunderstorms/ 
rain near the front...this circulation does not always cause 
storms to develop along drylines. 


With drylines...the lift occurs on the back side of the 
boundary...in the very hot...but very dry air that typically 
exists west of the boundary. In the warm...moist... potentially 
unstable air to the east...a downward motion is typically present. 
So how thunderstorms typically develop along a dryline is that 
some middle-level moisture exists over the surface dryline 
circulation. The lift interacts with this moisture resulting in 
very high based updrafts that move east off the dryline and 
attempt to ingest the really moist and unstable low-level air to 
the east. 


The problem is...how strong is the downward moving air on the 
moist...somewhat cooler side of the dryline? If the downward air 
is too strong...a strong inversion sets up preventing the moist 
low-level air from being ingested into the middle-level based 
updraft. Unfortunately there's no real way to know if dryline 
initiations will be successful or not. Typically the deciding 
factor between these middle-level thunderstorm initiation attempts 
failing (typically referred to as Turkey towers...based on the 
classic anvil and skinny dissipating updraft remnants that 
visually mark failed thunderstorm attempts for storm spotters) or 
not (resulting in full fledged thunderstorms) is the presence of 
ambient large scale lift which serves to weaken the capping 
inversion to the east of the dryline. Because that lift does not 
appear to be present on Thursday...we are siding with the dryline 
not initiating storms Thursday afternoon at this time. 


Back to the "normal" discussion... 


While thunderstorms along the dryline are unlikely Thursday 
afternoon...did place a 20 pop in the forecast right along and 
east of the dryline. While no models explicitly initiate storms 
along the dryline...all guidance shows a rapid moistening of the 
700 mb level which is indicative of those persistent middle-level 
thunderstorm initiation attempts mentioned above. Even though the 
chances are small...it only takes one of the attempts to come to 
fruition for one very large thunderstorm to develop. If even one 
supercell organizes along the dryline across the County Warning Area Thursday 
afternoon/early evening...it is very likely to produce large hail 
and damaging wind gusts. At this time...it simply appears that the 
cap will be too strong to overcome...resulting in a dry-dryline 
across north and central Texas. 


Friday...a cold front is expected to move out of the Central 
Plains and across the County Warning Area Friday late morning through the early 
afternoon hours of the day. Forecast soundings indicate that the 
lift associated with the front will be too weak/transient to 
overcome the low-level capping inversion during the morning 
hours...so wherever the front is Friday afternoon is the most 
likely time that storms will develop. At this time...it looks most 
like that the front will be along an Athens to Temple line by 
Friday afternoon...so kept the highest probability of precipitation along and southeast of 
this line as a result. Forecast cape/shear values are nowhere near 
as impressive along the cold front on Friday as they were along 
the dryline Thursday...but expect that a few strong to marginally 
severe storms are possible Friday afternoon. The front is expected 
to move fairly quickly though...so the window of opportunity for 
strong or severe storms across our County Warning Area seems fairly small at this 
time. 


This weekend...much cooler air is expected to build into the 
region behind the cold front...keeping temperatures in the 60s for 
highs on Saturday and Sunday. Rain shower and thunderstorm chances 
increase on Sunday as the consensus of model guidance is that a 
shortwave trough will move over the Southern Plains on Sunday. 
This will send a surge of Gulf moisture up over the frontal 
inversion...resulting in widespread rain showers with some 
isolated elevated thunderstorms mixed in. 


Early next week...persistent southerly flow is expected to bring 
North Texas back into the "warm sector" by Monday afternoon as a 
weak warm front like feature moves north across the County Warning Area early 
Monday morning. This will bring a good surge of Gulf moisture over 
the region while southwest flow aloft prevails. This will once 
again set the stage for an elevated mixed layer to advect over a 
moist Gulf airmass in the lower atmosphere across North 
Texas...resulting in healthy...but capped...potential instability 
for thunderstorms early next week. Kept a low chance of storms in 
the forecast each day as thunderstorm chances will depend on sub- 
synoptic features which cannot be resolved by global models this 
far out. The climate forecast system continues to pick up on a 
nice overlap of model generated convective precipitation and supercell 
composite index early next week...so there will be an attendant 
severe weather threat for any thunderstorms that develop. Our best 
chance of storms looks to occur on Wednesday when models indicate 
that a cold front will move across the region. The timing of this 
front is likely to change in future forecasts however...so kept 
probability of precipitation below the 60 percent that MOS guidance was advertising. 


Cavanaugh 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 80 66 85 67 75 / 30 20 20 20 10 
Waco, Texas 79 65 84 66 78 / 40 30 10 10 20 
Paris, Texas 77 63 79 66 71 / 30 30 20 20 20 
Denton, Texas 80 65 86 66 72 / 30 10 20 20 10 
McKinney, Texas 79 64 82 66 73 / 30 20 20 20 10 
Dallas, Texas 80 65 84 66 75 / 30 20 20 20 10 
Terrell, Texas 79 64 82 66 74 / 30 30 20 20 20 
Corsicana, Texas 79 64 82 67 77 / 40 30 10 10 20 
Temple, Texas 78 65 84 66 79 / 40 30 10 10 20 
Mineral Wells, Texas 83 64 91 66 73 / 30 10 10 10 10 


&& 


Forward watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 


75/ 



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