Carrollton, Texas Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 68°
  • Clear
  • Wind: South 9 mph
  • Humidity: 46%
  • Visibility: 13.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 46°
  • Pressure: 30.17 in. 0

Nowcast

  • Now as of 10:27 am CDT on October 30, 2014

    At 1025 am...area radars indicated that a few isolated showers were beginning to develop along a Mineral Wells to Meridian to Waco line. This activity was moving towards the southeast at around 5 to 10 mph. Very little rain was likely reaching the ground at this time...however. Otherwise...skies ranged from mostly sunny to mostly cloudy across north and central Texas with temperatures in the 60s. Through the rest of this morning...isolated showers may continue to develop generally west of the Interstate 35 corridor. This activity will continue to move towards the south and east. Rainfall amounts should remain light...with total amounts of around a few hundredths of an inch. Otherwise...expect partly to mostly sunny skies. Temperatures should climb through the low to mid 70s with southerly winds of 5 to 15 mph.

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Next 12 Hours

1  pm
4  pm
7  pm
10  pm
1  am
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Thunderstorm
T-storms
Thunderstorm
T-storms
Clear
Clear
72°
77°
77°
72°
66°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Thursday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 79 °
  • Low: 57 °
  • T-Storms
  • Friday
  • Clear
  • High: 64 °
  • Low: 39 °
  • Clear
  • Saturday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 63 °
  • Low: 45 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Sunday
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • High: 66 °
  • Low: 57 °
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 77 °
  • Low: 59 °
  • Chance of Rain

Forecast for Carrollton, Texas

Updated: 10:00 AM CDT on October 30, 2014

  • Thursday

    Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 79F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy with thunderstorms and rain showers in the evening, then clear. Low of 57F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 64F. Breezy. Winds from the North at 15 to 20 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 39F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Saturday

    Overcast in the morning, then clear. High of 63F. Winds from the ESE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 45F. Winds from the SE at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy in the morning, then overcast. High of 66F. Winds from the SSE at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Overcast in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 57F. Winds from the SSE at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Monday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 77F. Breezy. Winds from the SSE at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Monday Night

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 59F. Winds from the SSE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast with thunderstorms. High of 68F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 20 mph shifting to the NNE in the afternoon. Chance of rain 80% with rainfall amounts near 1.7 in. possible.

  • Tuesday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Low of 52F. Winds from the North at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Wednesday

    Mostly cloudy. High of 73F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 50F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 72F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 50F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 73F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 57F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 59F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 59F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Via Del Norte, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 75.0 °F Dew Point: 53 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.33 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Southeast, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 69.9 °F Dew Point: 54 °F Humidity: 58% Wind: ENE at 60.8 mph Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Wellington Run, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 74.1 °F Dew Point: 51 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: SE at 8.1 mph Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: West of Vivian Field, Farmers Branch, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 73.6 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 43% Wind: North at 3.1 mph Pressure: 30.13 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: OakBrook Parkway, Farmers Branch, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 74.5 °F Dew Point: 52 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: SW at 7.3 mph Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Southwest Carrollton, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 12:25 PM CDT

Temperature: 69.1 °F Dew Point: 52 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.22 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Woodgate, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 12:20 PM CDT

Temperature: 74.1 °F Dew Point: 51 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: ENE at 6.8 mph Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Rosemeade II, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 12:19 PM CDT

Temperature: 75.2 °F Dew Point: 56 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: South at 3.7 mph Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Meadow Glen, Dallas, TX

Updated: 12:23 PM CDT

Temperature: 74.5 °F Dew Point: 52 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.13 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Timbercreek Estates, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 73.1 °F Dew Point: 52 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: SE at 1.6 mph Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: NW Carrollton, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 73.3 °F Dew Point: 51 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: WSW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Woodridge on Creekside, Coppell, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 74.5 °F Dew Point: 52 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: SSW at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Oak Hills, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 72.8 °F Dew Point: 52 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: SSE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Meadow Ridge, Carrollton, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 73.2 °F Dew Point: 51 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: SE at 4.8 mph Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Bellbrook Drive, Dallas, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 66.2 °F Dew Point: 54 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Mariner Sails - I35E, Dallas, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 73.0 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 41% Wind: South at 4.3 mph Pressure: 30.32 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: The Hockaday School, Dallas, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 69.7 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: South at 5.0 mph Pressure: 30.13 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Prestonwood, Dallas, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 72.7 °F Dew Point: 51 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: South at 1.7 mph Pressure: 30.16 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Main Street Coppell, Coppell, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 73.0 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: SSE at 12.8 mph Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Las Colinas, Irving, TX

Updated: 11:26 AM CST

Temperature: 73.5 °F Dew Point: 51 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Gooding Drive, Dallas, TX

Updated: 12:25 PM CDT

Temperature: 70.2 °F Dew Point: 55 °F Humidity: 59% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Whispering Springs, Dallas, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 72.5 °F Dew Point: 52 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: SSE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 30.16 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Hackberry Creek, Irving, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 74.3 °F Dew Point: 53 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: SE at 3.7 mph Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Flintcove - Near Parkhill, Dallas, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 76.1 °F Dew Point: 53 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: SSW at 4.7 mph Pressure: 30.35 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Shadow Ridge, Coppell, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 73.7 °F Dew Point: 52 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: SW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Churchill Way, Dallas, TX

Updated: 12:17 PM CDT

Temperature: 72.1 °F Dew Point: 50 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: SW at 4.2 mph Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Near Brinker Elementary, Plano, TX

Updated: 12:25 PM CDT

Temperature: 65.8 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Kings Ridge, Plano, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 73.4 °F Dew Point: 51 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: SE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Shoal Creek, Plano, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 69.5 °F Dew Point: 52 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: West at 1.6 mph Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Ohio & W. Park, Plano, TX

Updated: 12:26 PM CDT

Temperature: 72.9 °F Dew Point: 52 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: SSE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.14 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas 
946 am CDT Thursday Oct 30 2014 


Update... 
no updates were necessary to the short term forecast. Still 
looking at the possibility of some isolated thunderstorm 
development late afternoon and early evening with the most favored 
area from McKinney southwestward to Mineral Wells and including 
much of the metroplex. Left probability of precipitation in the 20 to 30 percent range. 
This evening the focus for isolated shower and thunderstorm 
development will shift to the west and southwest and the most 
favored area will be over the Waco and Killeen areas and areas 
west to our southwest zones towards Comanche. Have left probability of precipitation over 
these areas at 40 percent. Much of this area is being highlighted 
by the Storm Prediction Center as having a marginal severe 
thunderstorm risk and we are in general agreement with the 
thinking that a storm or two could be strong to severe with gusty 
winds and small hail. Tornadoes are not expected. 


Hoeth 


&& 


Aviation... 
/issued 714 am CDT Thursday Oct 30 2014/ 
/12z tafs/ 


Concerns...storm potential...wind shift. 


Cloud cover... 
old frontal boundary is discernible by a north-south oriented 
moisture discontinuity. Flow within a mile of the surface is 
generally parallel to this boundary...which will prevent the MVFR 
stratus over The Hill Country from reaching Waco. However... 
veering flow in advance of another cold front will allow the 
deeper moisture to reach the I-35 corridor this afternoon. This 
will mean some VFR ceilings late this afternoon into the early 
evening...during the handful of hours preceding frontal passage. Skies 
should rapidly clear after the frontal passage. 


Storm potential... 
moisture recovery in advance of the approaching cold front may be 
sufficient for the development of showers and thunderstorms late 
this afternoon in vicinity of the metroplex. There is considerable 
disparity among short range guidance in terms of intensity and 
areal coverage...but with most solutions in general agreement with 
the frontal timing...confidence is high in window for potential 
impacts...even if probability of precipitation is low. Have 
introduced vcsh...but aviation interests should be aware of the 
potential for thunderstorms late afternoon through the evening. 


Wind shift... 
surface winds will steadily veer today from southeast to 
southwest. Speeds will be primarily under 10kts. Unless convection 
is more widespread than the current forecast...the eventual 
veering to the north will be during the evening hours. 


25 




&& 






Previous discussion... /issued 419 am CDT Thursday Oct 30 2014/ 
our first weather concern will be with the northern plains cold 
front surging south into the Southern Plains this afternoon...as 
a northwest flow shortwave moves quickly southeast. A surface low 
over eastern South Dakota will move into central Missouri by 
midday. The cold front cross the Red River by late afternoon...then 
through the remainder of north and central Texas tonight. Models 
continue to show moisture increasing ahead of the front...particularly 
across the southwest half of our County Warning Area through the 
day with precipitable water values approaching 1.15-1.3 inches. High resolution 
models are signaling higher rain chances than in previous runs 
from the dfw metropolitan southwest into the northern Hill Country. The 
GFS and hrrr are the driest solutions and keep convective activity 
isolated...while the European model (ecmwf)/various WRF models indicate scattered 
coverage...while the sref/nam12 models the wettest. All these 
variable solutions created quite a quandary for forecasting rain 
chances later today and how much to ramp them up. 


After collaborating with several neighboring offices...the decision 
agreed upon was to raise probability of precipitation...but stay conservative and lean 
toward the middle of the Road European model (ecmwf)/WRF projections. Moisture does 
increase...but is not overly rich with best values across our 
southwest counties. The general feeling was that there would be 
enough forcing trailing from the shortwave moving through the 
Ozarks and into the lower Mississippi Valley tonight in addition 
to the surface forcing along the cold front to raise areas south 
of I-20 and west of I-35 into the chance category. Instability both 
surface and aloft appears marginal...but strong northwest bulk 
shear on the order of 40 kts may lend to a strong storm or two 
from late afternoon into this evening. However...the majority of 
convective activity should remain of the general variety. 


Cool and brisk conditions are expected behind the cold front by 
Friday morning. The origin of this next airmass is out of north- 
central Canada where temperatures are pretty chilly. Highs are 
only expected to be in the 60s north to the lower 70s across 
central Texas Friday with brisk north winds. The gusty winds will 
settle down during the evening hours Friday for trick or treaters 
or those heading to area High School football games. Nevertheless... 
temperatures by nightfall will be in the 50s and will fall readily 
into the middle- upper 40s by late evening across most areas...so 
bringing a light coat or jacket is highly recommended for any 
outdoor activities Friday evening. The winds will become light 
northeast by Saturday morning with possible frost on the pumpkins 
across rural areas north of I-20...as low temperatures fall well 
into the 30s. Any extent of frost will really depend on any near- 
surface moisture that may be present. Might not be a bad idea to 
protect sensitive outdoor plants and vegetation Friday night/Saturday 
morning and make sure outdoor pets are prepared for this round of 
colder air. A surface high settles across the Ozarks during the 
day Saturday with highs warming only into the 60s...despite 
southeast winds returning and abundant sunshine. Lee surface 
cyclogenesis over the High Plains along with an upper ridge settling 
over the area Saturday night into Sunday will result in breezy 
south winds and temperatures slowly moderating back up to near 70 
degrees for highs Sunday. 


The longwave upper trough currently entering the U.S. West Coast 
will be our next system of interest for the early half of next 
week. This system will track east over The Rockies over the 
weekend and begin affecting the western High Plains by Monday. 
We expect Monday to be mostly dry as the increasing southwest 
flow aloft will likely enhance the capping inversion over much of 
the area with plenty of stratus underneath the inversion. Models 
now have this system more of an open and deep wave this run versus 
being cut off on runs 24 hours ago. Though movement will be slow... 
we do expect the system to eject over the area Tuesday into Tuesday 
night...as middle level tropical moisture gets picked up from an old 
Pacific tropical system. We plan to carry high rain chances 
Tuesday and Tuesday night...as the surface cold front moves into 
the area. 


By Wednesday and beyond...the European model (ecmwf) and GFS begin to widely diverge 
on how the southern piece of energy aloft is handled. The GFS 
remains progressive the system and cold front...while the European model (ecmwf) 
cuts it off and drops it even further south over northern Mexico 
by Wednesday with the front stalling across the area. The European model (ecmwf) 
solution would keep the area wet into the late week period...but the 
GFS dries things out. For now...will go with lower probability of precipitation than 
guidance and await later model runs to better resolve things. 


05/ 






&& 


Synopsis... 
quiet weather was occurring across the region this morning...as 
a surface ridge of high pressure extended from the Great Lakes 
southwest into Texas. A cold front was progressing south across 
the High Plains of the Dakotas and eastern Montana with a surface 
trough extending from eastern South Dakota south into southeast 
Colorado and northeast New Mexico. A shortwave was seen on water 
vapor satellite imagery moving southeast across the upper Midwest 
and northern plains this morning...while another strong upper 
system was approaching the U.S. West Coast. 


&& 




Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 80 53 66 40 62 / 30 20 0 0 0 
Waco, Texas 79 53 70 40 64 / 5 30 0 0 0 
Paris, Texas 73 46 63 34 59 / 10 10 0 0 0 
Denton, Texas 78 48 65 36 61 / 30 10 0 0 0 
McKinney, Texas 76 50 65 34 61 / 30 10 0 0 0 
Dallas, Texas 79 55 67 40 62 / 20 20 0 0 0 
Terrell, Texas 77 52 67 38 62 / 10 20 0 0 0 
Corsicana, Texas 77 54 69 40 62 / 5 20 0 0 0 
Temple, Texas 78 54 71 41 64 / 5 40 0 0 0 
Mineral Wells, Texas 80 48 67 36 63 / 30 20 0 0 0 


&& 


Forward watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 


/ 










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