Elkins, West Virginia Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 29°
  • Light Snow
  • Wind: South 5 mph
  • Humidity: 85%
  • Visibility: 2.5 miles
  • Dew Point: 25°
  • Pressure: 29.52 in. 0
  • Heat Index: 24

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Next 12 Hours

4  am
7  am
10  am
1  pm
4  pm
Snow Showers
Snow Showers
Snow
Snow
Snow
Snow
Snow Showers
Snow Showers
Snow
Snow
30°
28°
26°
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Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Tuesday
  • Snow
  • High: 30 °
  • Low: 18 °
  • Snow
  • Wednesday
  • Snow
  • High: 22 °
  • Low: 8 °
  • Snow
  • Thursday
  • Snow Showers
  • High: 18 °
  • Low: 4 °
  • Snow Showers
  • Friday
  • Snow Showers
  • High: 29 °
  • Low: 9 °
  • Snow Showers
  • Saturday
  • Snow Showers
  • High: 9 °
  • Low: -17 °
  • Snow Showers

Forecast for Elkins, West Virginia

Updated: 4:33 am EST on February 9, 2016

Winter Weather Advisory in effect until 7 am EST Wednesday...
  • Today

    Snow showers. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches. Colder. Near steady temperature in the lower 20s. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent.

  • Tonight

    Snow showers. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches. Brisk and cold with lows around 16...around 11 across higher elevations. West winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent. Wind chill readings as low as 3 below.

  • Wednesday

    Snow showers likely in the morning...then snow showers in the afternoon. New snow accumulation around an inch. Cold. Near steady temperature around 16. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph. Chance of snow 90 percent. Wind chill readings as low as 4 below.

  • Wednesday Night

    Snow showers. New Light snow accumulation. Brisk and colder with lows around 5 above. West winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent. Wind chill readings as low as 15 below after midnight.

  • Thursday

    Mostly cloudy. Snow showers likely in the morning...then chance of snow showers in the afternoon. New Light snow accumulation possible. Cold with highs around 13. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent. Wind chill readings as low as 14 below in the morning.

  • Thursday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Cold with lows zero to 5 above zero. Wind chill readings as low as 10 below in the evening.

  • Friday

    Partly sunny in the morning...then mostly cloudy with chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Not as cold with highs in the lower 20s. Chance of snow 40 percent. Wind chill readings as low as 10 below in the morning.

  • Friday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Brisk and cold with lows 5 to 10 above. Wind chill readings as low as 10 below after midnight.

  • Saturday

    Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers in the morning. Blustery and colder with highs 10 to 15. Chance of snow 30 percent. Wind chill readings as low as 15 below in the morning.

  • Saturday Night

    Mostly cloudy and blustery. Colder with lows 5 below to zero. Wind chill readings as low as 20 below.

  • Sunday

    Mostly sunny. Cold with highs 10 to 15. Wind chill readings as low as 25 below in the morning.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy in the evening...then becoming mostly cloudy. Cold with lows zero to 5 above zero. Wind chill readings as low as 10 below after midnight.

  • Washingtons Birthday

    Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Not as cold with highs in the mid 20s. Chance of snow 30 percent. Wind chill readings as low as 10 below in the morning.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Winter Weather Advisory  Statement as of 9:43 PM EST on February 8, 2016


... Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect until 7 am EST
Wednesday...

* hazard types... snow.

* Snow accumulations... 5 to 10 inches over 42 hours. Some
settling and melting of fallen snow can be expected during the
advisory period.

* Timing... snow will be around for most of the week with varying
intensity.

* Impacts... travel may be difficult at times. Visibilities will
be limited at times.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow
will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow
covered roads and limited visibilities... and use caution while
driving.





Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: West Central Street, Elkins, WV

Updated: 4:34 AM EST

Temperature: 30.7 °F Dew Point: 27 °F Humidity: 85% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.15 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 31 °F Graphs

Location: Elkins, WV

Updated: 4:39 AM EST

Temperature: 29.8 °F Dew Point: 28 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.59 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 30 °F Graphs

Location: Alpena, Bowden, WV

Updated: 4:39 AM EST

Temperature: 23.8 °F Dew Point: -25 °F Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.44 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 24 °F Graphs

Location: Hertig Knob, Alpena, WV

Updated: 4:39 AM EST

Temperature: 26.8 °F Dew Point: -22 °F Humidity: - Wind: WSW at 1.1 mph Pressure: 29.43 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 27 °F Graphs

Location: WV8HIX-Chestnut Street, Parsons, WV

Updated: 4:39 AM EST

Temperature: 30.4 °F Dew Point: 29 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.45 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 30 °F Graphs

Location: Appalachian Mountains, Parsons, WV

Updated: 4:38 AM EST

Temperature: 30.2 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.43 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 30 °F Graphs

Location: Holly Meadows River Bend Estates, Parsons, WV

Updated: 4:38 AM EST

Temperature: 30.9 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.48 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 31 °F Graphs

Location: Pifer Mountain, Parsons, WV

Updated: 4:32 AM EST

Temperature: 27.5 °F Dew Point: 27 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.43 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 28 °F Graphs

Location: bailey ridge, Buckhannon, WV

Updated: 4:39 AM EST

Temperature: 29.8 °F Dew Point: 29 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 30 °F Graphs

Location: MANSFIELD ON SUTTON ST, Philippi, WV

Updated: 4:39 AM EST

Temperature: 31.1 °F Dew Point: 28 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.56 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 31 °F Graphs

Location: Cherry Ridge, West Virginia, WV

Updated: 4:38 AM EST

Temperature: 27.7 °F Dew Point: 27 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.26 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 28 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Philippi, WV

Updated: 3:55 AM EST

Temperature: 32 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.61 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 32 °F Graphs

Location: Dogs Run Farm, Dryfork, WV

Updated: 4:34 AM EST

Temperature: 26.2 °F Dew Point: 26 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: West at 4.7 mph Pressure: 29.42 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 21 °F Graphs

Location: 3 Miles ENE Rock Cave, Rock Cave, WV

Updated: 4:38 AM EST

Temperature: 28.2 °F Dew Point: 27 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: West at 5.0 mph Pressure: 29.52 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 23 °F Graphs

Location: High Mountain, Harman, WV

Updated: 4:32 AM EST

Temperature: 23.4 °F Dew Point: 14 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.39 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 23 °F Graphs

Location: Spruce Knob Mountain Center, Circleville, WV

Updated: 4:38 AM EST

Temperature: 21.7 °F Dew Point: 20 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: West at 5.4 mph Pressure: 29.64 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 15 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Charleston WV 
348 am EST Tuesday Feb 9 2016 


Synopsis... 
cold and unsettled today through Wednesday under a large middle and 
upper level low...with rounds of snow showers. Another Arctic 
front brings snow showers to start the weekend. 


&& 


Near term /through tonight/... 
impressive eastern U.S. Trough over the area early this morning 
with 500 mb height anomalies 3 South Dakota below normal over the southeastern U.S. 
Including the Florida Panhandle and northern Gulf Coast. 850 mb temperature 
anomalies get to 3 South Dakota below normal in that area tonight. An 
almost equally impressive western U.S. Ridge was in place with heights 
2.5 South Dakota above normal over the northern rockies. 


This spells a cold forecast today and tonight with numerous snow 
showers around beneath the deep upper level low. The Arctic front 
was just moving northeastward through central WV early this morning...and 
should get through the remainder of the area first thing this 
morning. Gusty snow showers accompany the front. The wet snow 
last evening and overnight...and the sharply lower temperatures 
early this morning...will lead to slick roads beneath the snow 
this morning...particularly where not treated or pre-treated. 


The other notable feature under the nose early this morning is a 
band of snow across southern Ohio associated with an upper level short wave 
trough pivoting around an upper level low over north-central Ohio. 
Enhanced by reverse warm advection from the north...this band may 
persist through much of the day today...continuing to pivot for a 
time before finally drifting east of the Ohio River. 


Otherwise snow showers will be most persistent in and just west of 
the mountains given upslope flow...but diurnal heating beneath the 
upper low will make for auto convective soundings in the lower 
levels which will enhance snow showers across The Lowlands as 
well. 


Using a blend of short and near term models today and short term 
models tonight...orographic lift and snow ratios derived from 
dendritic growth...snow amounts still fall two to five inches 
below warning criteria...the low two inch difference being in and 
near Ohio...associated with the band of snow pivoting about that 
area today. Will need to keep a keen eye on that situation for 
possible upgrade to a warning as is already in effect upstream 
until noon today. 


Also used a blend of short and near term models for temperatures 
today...and then blended in bias corrected versions of the mav 
and NAM for lows tonight...slightly lower values all around 
compared with previous. Also have lower dew points...particularly 
in a dry swath across eastern Kentucky...southern WV and SW Virginia...further 
differentiating the coverage of snow showers there 
today...compared with areas to the north. 


&& 


Short term /Wednesday through Friday/... 
broad upper level trough will continue to affect the local area 
Wednesday. The low starts to lift out of the area Wednesday nt and Thursday. 


A series of vorticity lobes will rotate around the periphery of the 
trough to keep some forcing for snow showers Wednesday through 
Thursday. Westerly flow Wednesday veers from the northwest Thursday. 


Northwest flow will set the plume of moisture from Lake Michigan 
right towards north of our area Thursday. In addition...northwest 
flow will produce upslope snow showers in and near the mountains 
Wednesday night into Thursday. 


Coded from one to 2.4 inches of snow ranging from southeast 
Ohio...east into the eastern mountains by Wednesday night. An 
additional inch or so expected over the northeast mountains 
Thursday. 


Another vorticity lobe crosses the area Friday under northwest flow 
enhancing snow over The Lowlands...and upslope snow over the 
eastern mountains Friday into the weekend. 


Used the superblend for temperatures through the period. 


&& 


Long term /Friday night through Monday/... 
some lingering snow showers across the northern mountainous counties 
to start the period. This is due to northwest flow aloft. However...a 
surface high pressure is nosing in so it will be a tightrope walk 
between northwest flow and departing moisture. Some uncertainty on 
probability of precipitation this weekend...as European model (ecmwf) slides a surface low to our north 
driving a cold front through. However...the GFS is mush less robust 
with this system...with a weaker front and less moisture. Stayed in 
chance probability of precipitation for now. 


Either way...reinforcing shot of cold air arrives with this front 
setting up a very chilly weekend. Still breezy during this time as 
the next high pressure does not nose in until during the day Sunday. 
Will mention potential for Wind Chill Advisory in the severe weather potential statement. Most 
widespread issue looks to be Saturday night...but should high arrive 
sooner than forecast...wind could shut down early. 


Another system looks to impact the end of the period...but with 
fairly drastic differences in the models stuck close to wpc for now. 


&& 


Aviation /08z Tuesday through Saturday/... 
a somewhat low confidence forecast during the 24 hour taf period due 
to the variability of conditions with numerous snow showers 
about. 


A very cold air mass overtakes the area overnight...as an upper 
level low settles in over the upper Ohio Valley. This will keep 
snow showers...and associated IFR conditions...most frequent 
across the middle Ohio Valley and northern WV although...because this 
is an upslope pattern...frequent MVFR conditions with IFR at times 
can be expected down the WV mountains. This leaves eastern Kentucky and southern 
WV with VFR visibility much of the time...but any snow shower or band 
can bring a brief period of IFR. Even there...MVFR ceilings will be 
persistent...perhaps lifting to MVFR at times Tuesday afternoon. 


Surface flow will be mainly from the west...and be gusty at 
times...mainly during the day on Tuesday. However...winds were gusty 
at heights as of 06z...just behind the Arctic front...and brief gusty 
winds are likely to progress northeastward across WV through early Tuesday 
morning...as the Arctic front moves from SW to NE through the 
state. Flow aloft will be light to moderate west. 


Forecast confidence and alternate scenarios through 06z Wednesday... 


Forecast confidence...low 


Alternate scenarios: timing and extent of IFR will vary in snow 
showers overnight and especially on Tuesday. 


Experimental table of flight category objectively shows consistency 
of weather forecast office forecast to available model information: 
h = high: taf consistent with all models or all but one model. 
M = medium: taf has varying level of consistency with models. 
L = low: taf inconsistent with all models or all but one model. 


Date Tuesday 02/09/16 
UTC 1hrly 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 
EST 1hrly 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 
crw consistency M l l l l l l M M M M M 
heights consistency l l M M M M M M M M M h 
bkw consistency M M l l l l M M M M M M 
ekn consistency M l l l l l l M M M M M 
pkb consistency M M l l l l l l l l l l 
ckb consistency M M l l l l l l M M M M 


After 06z Wednesday... 
periods of IFR conditions in snow showers all the way through 
Wednesday night...especially north and east portions of area. 


&& 


Rlx watches/warnings/advisories... 
WV...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 am EST Wednesday for 
wvz005>011-013>020-024>040-046-047. 
Ohio...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 am EST Wednesday for ohz066- 
067-075-076-083>087. 
Kentucky...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 am EST Wednesday for 
kyz101>103-105. 
Virginia...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 am EST Wednesday for vaz003- 
004. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis...arj/trm 
near term...trm 
short term...arj 
long term...mz 
aviation...trm 






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