Elkins, West Virginia Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 64°
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wind: Calm
  • Humidity: 90%
  • Visibility: 2.5 miles
  • Dew Point: 61°
  • Pressure: 30.12 in. 0

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Next 12 Hours

4  am
7  am
10  am
1  pm
4  pm
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
67°
65°
73°
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83°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Tuesday
  • Clear
  • High: 85 °
  • Low: 67 °
  • Clear
  • Wednesday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 74 °
  • Low: 64 °
  • T-Storms
  • Thursday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 80 °
  • Low: 63 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Friday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 77 °
  • Low: 59 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Saturday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 81 °
  • Low: 64 °
  • Chance of T-Storms

Forecast for Elkins, West Virginia

Updated: 4:33 am EDT on July 7, 2015

  • Today

    Mostly sunny. Patchy dense fog this morning. Slight chance of rain showers this afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s...in the mid 70s across higher elevations. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

  • Tonight

    Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening...then showers likely with chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Locally heavy rainfall possible. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

  • Wednesday

    Showers likely with chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s...around 70 across higher elevations. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

  • Wednesday Night

    Cloudy. Rain showers likely with chance of thunderstorms in the evening...then chance of rain showers after midnight. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds up to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

  • Thursday

    Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds 5 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the evening...then chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 50 percent.

  • Friday

    Mostly cloudy with chance of rain showers in the morning... then partly sunny in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of rain 30 percent.

  • Friday Night

    Mostly cloudy with chance of rain showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 40 percent.

  • Saturday

    Partly sunny with chance of rain showers in the morning...then mostly cloudy with chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent.

  • Saturday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers after midnight. Lows in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 40 percent.

  • Sunday

    Partly sunny. Chance of rain showers in the morning...then chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 40 percent.

  • Sunday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the evening...then chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 50 percent.

  • Monday

    Partly sunny with showers likely with chance of thunderstorms in the morning...then mostly cloudy with chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 80. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: West Central Street, Elkins, WV

Updated: 4:51 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.0 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Elkins, WV

Updated: 4:52 AM EDT

Temperature: 65.0 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.05 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Deerbrook Estates, Belington, WV

Updated: 4:48 AM EDT

Temperature: 63.9 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Alpena, Bowden, WV

Updated: 4:52 AM EDT

Temperature: 63.5 °F Dew Point: 6 °F Humidity: - Wind: WSW at 1.1 mph Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: WV8HIX-Chestnut Street, Parsons, WV

Updated: 4:52 AM EDT

Temperature: 74.6 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Appalachian Mountains, Parsons, WV

Updated: 4:16 AM EDT

Temperature: 67.3 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Holly Meadows River Bend Estates, Parsons, WV

Updated: 4:50 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.4 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: bailey ridge, Buckhannon, WV

Updated: 4:52 AM EDT

Temperature: 65.7 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: MANSFIELD ON SUTTON ST, Philippi, WV

Updated: 4:52 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.2 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Philippi, WV

Updated: 4:18 AM EDT

Temperature: 65 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Dogs Run Farm, Dryfork, WV

Updated: 4:52 AM EDT

Temperature: 64.4 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: West at 4.2 mph Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Carter Ridge, Rock Cave, WV

Updated: 4:52 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.6 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: ENE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 28.14 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: High Mountain, Harman, WV

Updated: 4:47 AM EDT

Temperature: 61.7 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Charleston WV 
357 am EDT Tuesday Jul 7 2015 


Synopsis... 
warmer breezes today. Cold front approaches from Midwest tonight... 
stalling near Ohio River Wednesday. Frontal oscillates north again 
Wednesday night...then south again Thursday. Flash flood concerns. 


&& 


Near term /through tonight/... 
overnight showers exited our NE counties past few hours. 
Every fog night is unique. Thick valley fog formed by 03z in the deeper 
valleys of southern West Virginia...mostly S and southeast of crw. At first 
glance...it looked ideal for fog developing/spreading elsewhere too. 
However...boundary layer and 925 mb flow was increasing. 88d VAD here 
at rlx was 15 knots when we began the graveyard shift...it increased to 
20 knots by 06z. So backed off the fog for areas west-north of crw. The deeper 
valleys east and S of crw should still have fog to greet the dawn. 


Do not have a great feel on how today unfolds. Am concerned the warm air 
advection in the 925 to 850 mb layer may form a renegade shower early this 
morning in our western counties...will have some 20/30 probability of precipitation for that. 


Still hard to time prefrontal convection into the Ohio Valley counties later 
today into this evening. Did go a bit earlier...based on near term model trends. 
However...both 00z NAM...GFS...ECMWF were not that quick. May have more cellular 
convection at first...with larger clusters moving in 00z to 06z Wednesday...and 
hope weakening in rain rates during the night. Did include some gusty winds 
in late afternoon and evening convection in southeast Ohio and the Ohio River 
counties. Have dew points around 70 in The Lowlands this evening. 


We are still concerned about the flash flood hazard for tonight into Wednesday 
evening. Will continue in the hazardous weather potential and will continue 
to contemplate flash flood watches. 


&& 


Short term /Wednesday through Thursday night/... 
a meandering front will keep the short term active. Models all have 
slightly different timing and placement of this front as it meanders 
across the area in response to several waves moving along it. To 
start the period the front should be just to the west of the Ohio 
River. While convection will sink southeast through the County Warning Area on 
Wednesday...the front looks to actually lift north as a weak surface 
wave moves across IL/in. Have a lull in the probability of precipitation...although still 
carrying slight chance...on Wednesday night as the front remains to 
the north. 


As the surface wave passes to our north Thursday...the front will 
sink back in Thursday afternoon and likely wash out across the 
forecast area Thursday night. Some uncertainty here as the NAM looks 
to actually clear the front to the south as high pressure builds 
over the southern Great Lakes. The lower resolution GFS and European model (ecmwf) 
are fairly Muddy through this time...but do hint at the front 
at least making it into southern County Warning Area. 


Have probability of precipitation beginning to increase again toward early Friday morning as 
the next surface wave organizes to our west. In response the front 
will sharpen and drift begin drifting back north by the end of the 
period. 


Precipitable water values hangout in the 2 inch range along the 
front Wednesday. Precipitable waters  dip into the 1.5 inch range Wednesday night 
as the front lifts farther north...but then increase back to around 
2 inches Thursday as the front sinks through. This spells rounds of 
showers and storms with downpours likely in thunderstorms and 
stronger showers. Also have upper ridge building through the period 
which should slow down cell movement some. This spells potential 
water issues...and debated an area wide Flash Flood Watch. However 
with uncertainty in exact placement and heavy rain coming in waves 
separated by dry periods...will opt to expand severe weather potential statement mention until 
confidence increases. 


&& 


Long term /Friday through Monday/... 
a upper high lingers across the southeastern Continental U.S. To start this 
period. Models agree with upper shortwave sliding across the 
northeast periphery of the ridge to start the weekend and across the 
forecast area. This will keep the pattern unsettled through the 
weekend with showers and thunderstorms. With the grounds already 
saturated...will have to keep a continued eye on water concerns. A 
stronger wave will slide across the western Great Lakes and begin to 
break down the Southeast Ridge. This will only be replaced with a 
trough across the eastern Continental U.S.. the stormy pattern looks to be 
maintained into next week. 


&& 


Aviation /07z Tuesday through Saturday/... 
every fog night is unique. Thick valley fog already formed in the deeper valleys 
of southern West Virginia...mostly S and southeast of crw. In earlier tonight...it looked 
ideal for fog developing/spreading elsewhere too. However...boundary layer 
and 925 mb flow is increasing. 88d VAD here at rlx has increased to 20 knots 
at 925 mb. Will back off on the fog for the Ohio Valley and even crw. 


The warm air advection may form a renegade shower 12z to 15z in the Ohio 
Valley counties...but pop too low for taf insertion. 


Still hard to time prefrontal convection into the Ohio Valley counties. Did 
go a bit earlier...based on near term model trends. However...both 00z NAM and 00z 
GFS were not that quick. 


Will transition more to multiple layers clouds and showers 03z to 06z Wednesday... 
with a few embedded thunderstorms. Despite being south of front...widespread 
visibility 3 to 5 miles figured...lower in any heavier precipitation. 


Forecast confidence and alternate scenarios through 06z Wednesday... 


Forecast confidence: medium. 


Alternate scenarios: coverage of fog 06z to 12z Tuesday could vary. Timing 
of convective rounds arriving between 18z today and 00z tonight in the western 
lowlands could vary. 


After 06z Wednesday... 
IFR possible in showers and thunderstorms near the frontal 
boundary Wednesday into Thursday. Potential for low stratus and fog 
at night in the muggy air. 


&& 


Rlx watches/warnings/advisories... 
WV...none. 
Ohio...none. 
Kentucky...none. 
Virginia...none. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis...ktb/mz 
near term...ktb 
short term...mz 
long term...jb/rpy 
aviation...ktb/26 



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