Elkins, West Virginia Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 45°
  • Clear
  • Wind: West 4 mph
  • Humidity: 63%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 33°
  • Pressure: 30.16 in. -
  • Heat Index: 44

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Next 12 Hours

1  pm
4  pm
7  pm
10  pm
1  am
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Rain Showers
57°
59°
48°
52°
55°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Sunday
  • Rain Showers
  • High: 64 °
  • Low: 54 °
  • Rain Showers
  • Monday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 63 °
  • Low: 32 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Tuesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 43 °
  • Low: 27 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of Snow
  • High: 41 °
  • Low: 23 °
  • Chance of Snow
  • Thursday
  • Chance Rain
  • High: 46 °
  • Low: 23 °
  • Chance Rain

Forecast for Elkins, West Virginia

Updated: 4:00 AM EST on November 23, 2014

Wind Advisory in effect from 4 PM this afternoon to midnight EST tonight...
  • Sunday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 64F. Winds from the South at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Sunday Night

    Mostly cloudy with rain showers. Low of 54F. Winds from the SSE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 63F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 30 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Low of 32F. Breezy. Winds from the WSW at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 43F. Winds from the WSW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy in the evening, then overcast. Low of 27F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast with a chance of snow and rain showers. High of 41F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of snow 40%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 23F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 46F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of snow. Low of 23F with a windchill as low as 12F. Breezy. Winds from the WNW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of snow 40%.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 43F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Low of 23F. Winds from the SW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of snow. Fog early. High of 36F with a windchill as low as 12F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 40%.

  • Saturday Night

    Overcast with a chance of snow. Fog overnight. Low of 30F with a windchill as low as 12F. Winds from the West at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 50% with accumulations up to 1 in. possible.

  • Sunday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Sunday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 34F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Monday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 63F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Low of 37F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 46F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 36F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 48F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 36F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Wind Advisory  Statement as of 10:27 am EST on November 23, 2014


... Wind Advisory remains in effect from 4 PM this afternoon to
midnight EST tonight...

* winds... southeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Timing... late this afternoon through midnight tonight.

* Impacts... tree limbs and branches may break... which could could
fall on roadways or cause power disruptions.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph or gusts above 46 mph
are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult... especially
for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. Tarps... garbage cans... Holiday
decorations and other light weight objects may blow away. It is
best to tightly secure these items... or bring them inside.






Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Elkins, WV

Updated: 11:52 AM EST

Temperature: 50.4 °F Dew Point: 26 °F Humidity: 39% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.21 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Wolf Creek Rd, Norton, WV

Updated: 11:52 AM EST

Temperature: 60.4 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 60% Wind: SSE at 3.8 mph Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Deerbrook Estates, Belington, WV

Updated: 11:43 AM EST

Temperature: 55.9 °F Dew Point: 42 °F Humidity: 60% Wind: SSE at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Alpena, Bowden, WV

Updated: 11:52 AM EST

Temperature: 51.8 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: SW at 1.1 mph Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Hertig Knob, Alpena, WV

Updated: 11:52 AM EST

Temperature: 50.8 °F Dew Point: 37 °F Humidity: 60% Wind: NNE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: WV8HIX-Chestnut Street, Parsons, WV

Updated: 11:52 AM EST

Temperature: 48.2 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 56% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Appalachian Mountains, Parsons, WV

Updated: 11:39 AM EST

Temperature: 46.0 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Holly Meadows River Bend Estates, Parsons, WV

Updated: 11:49 AM EST

Temperature: 48.8 °F Dew Point: 37 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: bailey ridge, Buckhannon, WV

Updated: 11:52 AM EST

Temperature: 63.5 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: East at 1.1 mph Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: MANSFIELD ON SUTTON ST, Philippi, WV

Updated: 11:52 AM EST

Temperature: 67.1 °F Dew Point: 22 °F Humidity: 18% Wind: NE at 9.8 mph Pressure: 29.73 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: HADS BUCKHANNON RIVER NEAR BUCKHANNON WV US USARMY-COE, Buckhannon, WV

Updated: 10:45 AM EST

Temperature: 60 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Dogs Run Farm, Dryfork, WV

Updated: 11:40 AM EST

Temperature: 51.1 °F Dew Point: 35 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: ENE at 2.7 mph Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Rock Cave, WV [KWVROCKC2/EW3801/KC4YGB], Rock Cave, WV

Updated: 11:52 AM EST

Temperature: 63.0 °F Dew Point: 47 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: NE at 8.0 mph Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Charleston WV 
935 am EST sun Nov 23 2014 


Synopsis... 
low pressure approaches from the southwest today...and passes 
west of the area tonight. A strong cold front whips through on 
Monday. Chilly high pressure Tuesday night. 


&& 


Near term /through tonight/... 
930 am update...tweaked todays forecast based on current observation and 
hi res models to narrow down probability of precipitation. Also raised highs...especially 
across the west. Near term hi-res models all Show Low 70s for 
western half of County Warning Area...did not go quite that high but did give 
highs a good boost with warm air advection expected. These same hi res models 
did very well yesterday catching the highs that blew past previous 
forecasts. 


Previous discussion...generally fair weather across the area. A few 
light echoes on radar over far western WV counties to County Warning Area border 
otherwise all clear. 


Increased probability of precipitation for this afternoon to categorical and similarly 
increased wind speeds and gusts. Raised a Wind Advisory for the 
mountains. A strong front moves over the area this afternoon and 
wind speeds just off the deck peak out near 60 kts. Strongest 
gusts should be with the frontal passage around 7 PM tonight. The lower 
elevations should generally be spared by this first wave though it 
will be a tad windy with gusts to 20 to 25 miles per hour. 


Temperatures will be quite warm today nearly 10 degrees above normal. 


&& 


Short term /Monday through Tuesday night/... 
models continue to show a low pressure system strengthening as it 
moves from the Mississippi Valley...north into the Ohio Valley and 
WV Monday. This system will first bring a warm front under deep 
strong south southwest flow into late Sunday night. Then...a cold 
front will quickly follow...accompanied by rain showers and strong 
gusty winds especially behind the front. 


The cold front will cross west to east early Monday. With h850 
temperatures around 10c...expect all precipitation to fall as liquid. 
Therefore...expect rounds of scattered to numerous rain showers. 
Precipitable water around 1.25 inches and strong deep layered shear could produce 
a low chance for thunder...but will keep mention out of forecast. 
Colder air rushes in behind the cold front dropping to minus 6c by 
06 Tuesday. 


Weather conditions will improve Monday night into Tuesday as a 
brief high pressure builds from the west...with colder 
temperatures. 


Previous temperatures looking good...perhaps a little warmer Monday 
due to strong deep south southwesterly flow. 


&& 


Long term /Wednesday through Saturday/... 
we have low confidence in the details for the long term as fast flow 
aloft dominates. This includes several elements not just 
probability of precipitation...including clouds and temperature. Generally went a bit 
colder than wpc medium range guidance and a bit more Liberal on 
chance probability of precipitation for snow showers. 


At the start of extended...thinking leftover stratocumulus low 
level moisture from the day on Tuesday...especially across the 
north...should be drying up/thinning Tuesday evening. 


With the mean middle/upper level trough still to our west...European model (ecmwf) most 
aggressive kinking the middle level moisture back west for Wednesday. 
Can not go that far west...will trend more toward the GFS and CMC 
and have just chance probability of precipitation for Wednesday for mostly light snow mainly 
12z to 16z Wednesday some eastern mountain counties. 


In the wake of that East Coast system...disturbances in the fast 
west and northwest flow aloft dominate around Thanksgiving into 
Friday night. GFS solution has 850 mb temperatures warming up 
Thursday...ahead of one of those systems. Meanwhile...European model (ecmwf) much 
colder. Did not go as cold as the European model (ecmwf). 


Think coldest 850 mb air should be over US Friday. Will include 
some 20 to 30 probability of precipitation for snow showers across northern counties Friday 
and Friday night. 


Deeper moisture may start returning by end of extended...overnight 
Saturday night. 


Overall...no major storms...but the finer details still hard to time. 


&& 


Aviation /15z Sunday through Thursday/... 
VFR until a strong front arrives late Sunday giving a few hours of 
IFR. Gusty winds will accompany the front particularly in the 
mountains 


Forecast confidence and alternate scenarios through 12z Monday... 


Forecast confidence: high...decreasing late. 


Alternate scenarios: timing of rain and associated MVFR visibility late 
Sunday could vary. Low ceilings and strong winds at bkw Sunday 
afternoon could vary. 


Experimental table of flight category objectively shows consistency 
of weather forecast office forecast to available model information: 
h = high: taf consistent with all models or all but one model. 
M = medium: taf has varying level of consistency with models. 
L = low: taf inconsistent with all models or all but one model. 


UTC 1hrly 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 
EST 1hrly 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 
crw consistency h h h h h h h h h M l l 
heights consistency h h h h h h h M l M l l 
bkw consistency h h h h M M M h h M M l 
ekn consistency h h h h h h h h h h M M 
pkb consistency h h h h h h h h h h M M 
ckb consistency h h h h h h h h h h h h 


After 12z Monday... 
IFR possible on eastern mountain slopes and across the middle Ohio 
Valley in rain and stratus Sunday nt into Monday morning. 


&& 


Rlx watches/warnings/advisories... 
WV...Wind Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to midnight EST tonight 
for wvz038-046-047. 
Wind Advisory from 6 PM to 11 PM EST this evening for 
wvz033>037. 
Ohio...none. 
Kentucky...none. 
Virginia...none. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis...trm 
near term...mz/jw 
short term...arj 
long term...ls 
aviation...jw 



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