Dallas, Texas Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 77°
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Wind: South 9 mph
  • Humidity: 64%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 64°
  • Pressure: 29.82 in. 0

Nowcast

  • Now as of 5:06 PM CDT on May 24, 2015

    A few isolated showers and thunderstorms will continue through the afternoon and early evening hours...mainly for areas along and east of an Emory to Corsicana to Thorndale line. Little in the way of severe weather is expected...but the strongest storms could produce brief periods of heavy rain...lightning and gusty winds. Otherwise...expect partly to mostly cloudy skies...along with temperatures in the 70s and 80s through sunset.

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Next 12 Hours

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2  am
5  am
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
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Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Monday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 77 °
  • Low: 67 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Tuesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 87 °
  • Low: 71 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 87 °
  • Low: 71 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Thursday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 85 °
  • Low: 72 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Friday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 82 °
  • Low: 71 °
  • Chance of T-Storms

Forecast for Dallas, Texas

Updated: 4:03 PM CDT on January 24, 2015

Flash Flood Watch in effect through Monday evening...
  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. Lows overnight in the upper 60s.

  • Sunday Night

    A few clouds. A stray thunderstorm is possible. Low 69F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Monday

    Cloudy in the morning followed by heavy thunderstorms later in the day. A few storms may be severe. High 77F. Winds SSE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 100%. 1 to 2 inches of rain expected.

  • Monday Night

    Thunderstorms in the evening will give way to cloudy skies overnight. Low 67F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 90%.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy in the morning followed by scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon. A few storms may be severe. High 87F. Winds S at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms before midnight. Low 71F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Wednesday

    Scattered thunderstorms in the morning, then cloudy skies late. High 87F. Winds S at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Mainly clear skies. Low 71F. Winds SSE at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Thursday

    Cloudy in the morning with scattered thunderstorms developing later in the day. High around 85F. Winds SSE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy with late night showers or thunderstorms. Low 72F. Winds SSE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Friday

    Scattered thunderstorms. High 82F. Winds SSE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Friday Night

    Partial cloudiness early, with scattered showers and thunderstorms later during the night. Low 71F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Saturday

    Scattered thunderstorms. High 82F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Saturday Night

    Variably cloudy with scattered thunderstorms. Low 68F. Winds NNW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Sunday

    Sunshine and clouds mixed. High 81F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Mainly clear. Low 66F. Winds ENE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Generally sunny despite a few afternoon clouds. High near 85F. Winds SE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear to partly cloudy. Low 69F. Winds SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy skies. High 87F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    A few clouds from time to time. Low 71F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Isolated thunderstorms in the morning. Skies will become partly cloudy later in the day. High 88F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Scattered thunderstorms in the evening, then mainly cloudy overnight with thunderstorms likely. Low 72F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Flood Warning  Statement as of 2:50 PM CDT on May 24, 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
the Elm Fork Trinity River near Carrollton.
* At 0215 PM Sunday the stage was 10.83 feet.
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast... the river will continue to fall to a stage near 9 feet
by Monday morning.
* At 10 feet, moderate flooding will occur on the right bank.


Lat... Lon 3300 9700 3287 9699 3287 9687 3300 9688




923 am CDT sun may 24 2015

... Forecast flooding increased from moderate to major severity...
the Flood Warning continues for
the Trinity River at Dallas.
* Until further notice... or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 0900 am Sunday the stage was 37.87 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast... the river will continue rising to a crest near 40 feet
by Monday after midnight then begin falling but remain above flood
stage for the next several days.


Lat... Lon 3275 9693 3281 9693 3283 9683 3275 9671
      3269 9676 3278 9687






 Flash Flood Watch  Statement as of 3:07 PM CDT on May 24, 2015


... Flash Flood Watch now in effect through Monday evening...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* all of north central Texas.

* Through Monday evening

* an upper level disturbance will track through the region
tomorrow and bring another round of severe thunderstorms with
heavy rainfall. The soil is already saturated... so any
additional heavy rainfall will cause flash flooding.

* Average rainfall of 1 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts is
expected over north central Texas Monday.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions are favorable for heavy
rain which may lead to flash flooding. You should monitor the
latest forecasts from the National Weather Service and be
prepared to take action should flash flood warnings be issued for
your area.



92




 Record Report  Statement as of 04:27 PM CDT on May 24, 2015


... Record daily maximum rainfall set at Dallas Fort Worth...

a record rainfall of 3.3 inches was set at Dallas Fort Worth today.
This breaks the old record of 3.28 set in 1908.




 Local Storm Report 



05/24/2015 0300 am

Dallas, Dallas County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            MacArthur Plaza - trees down and windows blown out.




05/24/2015 1018 am

Dallas, Dallas County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            MacArthur Plaza - trees down and windows blown out.




05/24/2015 0300 am

Dallas, Dallas County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            MacArthur Plaza - trees down and windows blown out.




05/24/2015 0300 am

Dallas, Dallas County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            MacArthur Plaza - trees down and windows blown out.




05/24/2015 1018 am

Dallas, Dallas County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            MacArthur Plaza - trees down and windows blown out.




05/24/2015 1018 am

Dallas, Dallas County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by trained spotter.


            MacArthur Plaza - trees down and windows blown out.




05/24/2015 0545 am

Grand Prairie, Dallas County.

Flash flood, reported by broadcast media.


            High water on I-20 both directions near Carrier Pkwy




05/24/2015 0545 am

Grand Prairie, Dallas County.

Flash flood, reported by broadcast media.


            High water on I-20 both directions near Carrier Pkwy




05/24/2015 0230 am

Grand Prairie, Dallas County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by Emergency Mngr.


            Tree down and structure damage to a car wash near Polo
            Rd and Robinson Rd




05/24/2015 0318 am

Irving, Dallas County.

Flash flood, reported by public.


            Cars trapped in high water on north beltline Rd




05/24/2015 0230 am

Grand Prairie, Dallas County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by Emergency Mngr.


            Tree down and structure damage to a car wash near Polo
            Rd and Robinson Rd




05/24/2015 0230 am

Grand Prairie, Dallas County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by Emergency Mngr.


            Tree down and structure damage to a car wash near Polo
            Rd and Robinson Rd




05/24/2015 0331 am

1 miles N of Irving, Dallas County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by Emergency Mngr.


            A CVS pharmacy received extensive roof damage, along
            with numerous trees and powerlines down near Hwy 114/161
            area.




05/24/2015 0331 am

1 miles N of Irving, Dallas County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by Emergency Mngr.


            A CVS pharmacy received extensive roof damage, along
            with numerous trees and powerlines down near Hwy 114/161
            area.




05/24/2015 0331 am

1 miles N of Irving, Dallas County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by Emergency Mngr.


            A CVS pharmacy received extensive roof damage, along
            with numerous trees and powerlines down near Hwy 114/161
            area.



 Public Information Statement  Statement as of 5:33 PM CDT on May 24, 2015


... NWS damage survey for Sunday may 24 2015 tornado event...

.Overview... Two early morning tornadoes are confirmed in Dallas County
from the overnight storms. The first... began in the city of Dallas as damage
to trees and power lines occurred near the intersection of Walnut Hill and
marsh. The tornado continued to the north-northwest in a narrow convergent
path. As the tornado crossed over LBJ freeway at josey Lane... an apartment
complex suffered roof damage as the tornado moved into Farmers Branch. Most
of the damage in the city of Dallas was EF0 damage... but the damage increased
as the storm moved into the city of Farmers Branch. A few warehouse buildings
suffered roof damage near the intersection of valwood Parkway and I-35e before
the tornado dissipated near Standridge Stadium Park... barely across the
Carrollton city limits.

The Irving tornado occurred roughly at the same time as the Dallas / Farmers
Branch tornado... but was slightly stronger. This tornado produced extensive
damage to trees... power lines... and businesses in the vicinity of Highway
114 and MacArthur. This tornado began just north of a Golf course in Las
Colinas... and traveled northwest for slightly over a mile. The most extensive
damage occurred at buildings on north MacArthur Boulevard between corporate
drive and west Walnut Hill Lane.

Survey crews also looked at sporadic damage in Ellis County... between
Waxahachie and Midlothian. This damage was determined to be straight line
wind damage... with estimated wind speeds of 65 to 70 mph.

Additional areas of damage will be investigated as more information is made
available.

.Farmers Branch tornado...

Rating: EF-1
estimated peak wind: 100-105 mph
path length /statute/: 5.1 miles
path width /maximum/: 200 yards
fatalities: 0
injuries: 0

Start date: may 24 2015
start time: 2:34 am CDT
start location: 8 NW Dallas / Dallas / TX
start lat/lon: 32.88 / -96.86

End date: may 24 2015
end time: 2:39 am CDT
end location: 1 NW Farmers Branch / Dallas / TX
end_lat/lon: 32.94 / -96.91

.Irving tornado...

Rating: EF-1
estimated peak wind: 105-110 mph
path length /statute/: 1.1 mile
path width /maximum/: 300 yards
fatalities: 0
injuries: 0

Start date: may 24 2015
start time: 2:34 am CDT
start location: 2 N Irving / Dallas / TX
start lat/lon: 32.88 / -96.96

End date: may 24 2015
end time: 2:36 am CDT
end location: 3 N Irving / Dallas / TX
end_lat/lon: 32.89 / -96.97

.Ef scale: the Enhanced Fujita scale classifies
tornadoes into the following categories.

EF0... weak... ... 65 to 85 mph
EF1... weak... ... 86 to 110 mph
EF2... strong... .111 to 135 mph
EF3... strong... .136 to 165 mph
EF4... violent... 166 to 200 mph
EF5... violent... >200 mph

Note:
the information in this statement is preliminary and subject to
change pending final review of the events and publication in
NWS storm data.



Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Dallas Convention Center C312, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:50 PM CDT

Temperature: 75.9 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Deep Ellum, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:59 PM CDT

Temperature: 78.8 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 69% Wind: SSW at 8.1 mph Pressure: 29.52 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Uptown, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 78.3 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 84% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Oak Lawn, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 75.4 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 77% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Old East Dallas, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 77.9 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: Cedars, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:51 PM CDT

Temperature: 79.9 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: SW at 4.7 mph Pressure: 29.52 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: Oak Lawn, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 78.1 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Peak's Suburban Addition, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 75.9 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 84% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Kessler, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:56 PM CDT

Temperature: 77.5 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: m-streets, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:59 PM CDT

Temperature: 76.8 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: SE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: West Highland Park, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:59 PM CDT

Temperature: 75.9 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Park Cities, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 76.1 °F Dew Point: 76 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Lakewood / Dallas TX, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:56 PM CDT

Temperature: 77.9 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: SE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: East Dallas, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:59 PM CDT

Temperature: 77.0 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: NNW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.79 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: Lakewood Hills, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 73.0 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 70 °F Graphs

Location: Dallas Hinton St. C401/C161 [E], Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:50 PM CDT

Temperature: 76.1 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: 68% Wind: North at - Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Lakewood Area, Dallas, Texas, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:59 PM CDT

Temperature: 79.0 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: ESE at 1.2 mph Pressure: 29.72 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 82 °F Graphs

Location: Park Cities, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 72.7 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.90 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 71 °F Graphs

Location: Lakewood, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 75.6 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 85% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 76 °F Graphs

Location: Lakewood, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 78.5 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: SSW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 81 °F Graphs

Location: Park Cities, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 74.8 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 85% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: University Park, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:59 PM CDT

Temperature: 77.4 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 72% Wind: East at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 79 °F Graphs

Location: University Park, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:57 PM CDT

Temperature: 79.9 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 72% Wind: West at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: Buckner Terrace / Everglade Park, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 76.5 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Forest Hills, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:47 PM CDT

Temperature: 81.1 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: SSE at 1.7 mph Pressure: 29.47 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 83 °F Graphs

Location: North Hill Estates, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 76.8 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: SSW at 5.0 mph Pressure: 29.75 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: Bluffview, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:55 PM CDT

Temperature: 76.8 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 85% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 78 °F Graphs

Location: University Park, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:50 PM CDT

Temperature: 77.8 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

Location: Buckner Terrace, Dallas, TX

Updated: 5:59 PM CDT

Temperature: 77.7 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: South at 5.8 mph Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 80 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas 
318 PM CDT sun may 24 2015 


Discussion... 
the upper level trough axis responsible for the most recent round 
of rainfall is currently pivoting through North Texas. The strong 
forcing ahead of this system has resulted in a second batch of 
rain and a few storms over the central County Warning Area this afternoon. But 
because the airmass across the region is pretty worked over from 
the overnight activity...this convection has been weak and is 
expected to remain so into the evening hours as it tracks 
northeastward. Will carry just a slight chance of rain over the 
west and probability of precipitation of 30-40 over the east this evening. Temperatures 
tonight will be in the middle 60s northwest to low 70s southeast as southerly winds 
re-establish and bring warmer and more moist air northward. 


The moisture return will set the stage for another round of severe 
thunderstorms and heavy rainfall tomorrow. Instability is forecast 
to become quite high...with surface based cape by midday reaching 
2500-3500 j/kg with little convective inhibition. Strong forcing 
will spread into the region in advance of a compact and rapidly 
moving vorticity lobe that swings across the state during the day. 
Thunderstorms should fire from roughly San Angelo to San Antonio 
by late morning and grow upscale into a mesoscale convective system or squall line as 
they move northeastward into the County Warning Area by early afternoon. Given the 
high cape and available shear...severe winds would be possible 
with the mesoscale convective system...and several high resolution models are indicating a 
Bow echo developing and tracking through the south central and 
southeast County Warning Area. However if the storm Mode remains more 
cellular...we would become more concerned about the potential for 
large hail and perhaps an isolated tornado. 


This system will assuredly bring a quick 1-3 inches of rain to 
the region southeast of a Comanche to dfw to Paris line where the 
severe weather threat is also highest. Obviously continuing the 
Flash Flood Watch through tomorrow afternoon for this area is a 
given. The heavier rain amounts may spread farther to the 
northwest...it is just dependent on how far northwest the return 
flow can bring the quality moisture back by tomorrow morning. Due 
to this uncertainty and the very saturated grounds that already 
exist...will keep the Flash Flood Watch going for the remainder 
of the County Warning Area even though it is possible less than a quarter to half 
inch may occur tomorrow across the northwest. All of this 
convective activity should clear out from west to east during the 
late afternoon and early evening hours...making for a quiet and 
tranquil evening. 


More sunshine is expected Tuesday afternoon and temperatures will 
climb into the low to middle 80s. The southerly flow should bring 
back low 70 dewpoints into the area again. The middle-upper levels 
will feature very steep lapse rates as cold air remains aloft in 
the wake of the last two shortwaves. All of this will contribute 
to an extremely unstable airmass over the region...with several 
models forecasting surface based cape over 5000 j/kg. Upper level 
forcing is forecast to be much weaker Tuesday...and a weak cap 
will also be present. While this should limit convective 
development until the middle-late afternoon hours and keep storm 
coverage low...what does develop will have a tremendous amount of 
instability to work with. Most of the model guidance is initiating 
convection along a dry line that is draped across the western 
counties Tuesday afternoon...which raises confidence that 
something will probably develop in our County Warning Area. Deep layer shear is 
rather limited...but due to the extreme instability it would be 
sufficient for supercells with a very large hail...tornado and 
locally heavy rainfall threat. Storm motion would probably be 
southeast or even south...so will keep the higher probability of precipitation of 30 
percent west of I-35. 


For Wednesday and Thursday we should be in between systems with 
really no organized lifting over the region. Although a few 
isolated to scattered showers and storms are possible with 
afternoon heating...will keep probability of precipitation at 20-30 percent. High 
cape...but very limited shear will keep activity more like 
Summer-time pulse convection...so some very localized severe 
threat will exist. 


The next upper level system arrives in from the west Friday and 
Saturday and it will take a couple of days to track through the 
area. Rain chances will increase again during this time frame with 
a potential for more heavy rainfall. A weak cold front may push 
through next Sunday in the wake of the upper system...so will 
keep rain chances continuing through Sunday. Northwesterly flow 
aloft behind the front will hopefully shunt some of this rich 
moisture well offshore...and bring US a break from this rainy 
pattern. However I would caution anyone banking on a dry forecast 
for early June that northwest flow this time of year is prime 
season for mesoscale convective system activity to track in from the High Plains which is 
often not forecast well by the global models. 


Tr.92 


&& 


Aviation... 
/issued 1235 PM CDT sun may 24 2015/ 


Another batch of showers will spread across the metroplex 
terminals this afternoon. Have not seen lightning in this 
activity over the past few hours and decided to exclude and 
monitor for needed updates. Expecting this batch to exit the 
metroplex around 22z with little or none this evening and 
overnight. Another convective complex will develop out west Monday 
morning and move across North Texas Monday afternoon...generally 
between 18 and 22z. This system again will produce heavy rainfall 
and could produce severe thunderstorms as well. 


MVFR ceilings and VFR to MVFR visible should prevail this afternoon but 
could go VFR before 00z. Expecting MVFR ceilings to return to all 
sites tonight by 06z with a lowering into the IFR category around 
08-09z. No improvement is expected through midday or early 
afternoon Monday. Expecting to see MVFR to IFR visible...and maybe 
IFR ceilings as well...during Monday afternoon/S convective system. 


75 




&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 67 80 65 86 68 / 20 70 30 20 30 
Waco, Texas 69 80 67 85 71 / 30 90 30 20 20 
Paris, Texas 68 80 65 82 67 / 40 70 60 20 20 
Denton, Texas 67 80 64 85 67 / 20 70 20 20 30 
McKinney, Texas 67 80 65 84 68 / 30 70 30 20 30 
Dallas, Texas 69 80 65 86 69 / 20 70 30 20 30 
Terrell, Texas 69 80 66 85 69 / 30 80 40 20 20 
Corsicana, Texas 71 80 67 84 71 / 30 90 40 20 20 
Temple, Texas 69 80 67 86 70 / 30 90 30 20 20 
Mineral Wells, Texas 66 78 64 86 69 / 20 70 20 30 30 


&& 


Forward watches/warnings/advisories... 
Flash Flood Watch through Monday evening for txz091>095-100>107- 
115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175. 




&& 


$$ 






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