Special Statement  Statement as of 3:46 PM CST on March 2, 2015

... Winter weather possible across north and central Texas
Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning...

Rain will mix with and then changeover to a wintry mix... most
likely to be sleet... across much of the region by the afternoon
or evening hours Wednesday. Precipitation should come to an end by
Thursday afternoon as the upper level system moves east of the

* Location... the areas most likely to see accumulations of ice or
sleet approaching one half inch are those along and southeast of
a line from Lampasas to Athens. However... all of north and
central Texas is likely to see at least some light wintry
precipitation during this event.

* Timing... we expect rain to transition over to a wintry mix
beginning along the Red River around mid-morning Wednesday
... across the metroplex shortly after midday and around
Waco/Killeen/Palestine by sunset.

* Precipitation type... mainly sleet... with some snow and freezing
rain possible.

* Accumulation and impacts... accumulations remain uncertain at
this time... but with temperatures dropping below freezing during
the afternoon it would take little to produce deteriorating Road
conditions and some travel delays by Wednesday evening.
Hazardous travel conditions are most likely along and southeast
of a line from Lampasas to Athens at this time.

* Alternate scenarios... the amount and duration of wintry
precipitation depend on how fast cold air moves into place on
Wednesday... the earlier the cold air is here... the more wintry
precipitation we can expect. Areas most likely to be impacted
may change in later forecasts and the timing of the cold air
into the region is the primary factor limiting confidence in how
much and how long wintry precipitation will fall during this

Please monitor future forecasts regarding the potential for
winter weather across North Texas Wednesday through Thursday.


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